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La Liga
Referee: M Ortiz
Villarreal
S S T S U
3–1
Full-time
Sociedad
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 49%
61%
36%
Points per game
2,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
57%
61%
Both score Ø 70%
57%
82%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

3,70 xG 1,08
35% Possession 65%
21 Shots 11
10 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 6
10 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Villarreal 4. · Sociedad 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 28 23 1 4 +49 +36.5 70
2 Real Madrid 28 21 3 4 +36 +31.1 66
3 Ath Madrid 28 17 6 5 +22 +13.7 57
4 Villarreal 28 17 4 7 +18 +7.1 55
5 Betis 28 11 11 6 +8 +10.5 44
6 Celta 28 10 11 7 +7 +4.1 41
7 Sociedad 28 10 8 10 +1 -0.9 38
8 Espanol 28 10 7 11 -7 -1.7 37
9 Getafe 28 10 5 13 -7 -8.7 35
10 Ath Bilbao 28 10 5 13 -10 +9.6 35
11 Osasuna 28 9 7 12 -2 -5.7 34
12 Girona 28 8 10 10 -12 -8.0 34
13 Vallecano 28 7 11 10 -6 +2.2 32
14 Valencia 28 8 8 12 -12 +0.4 32
15 Sevilla 28 8 7 13 -10 -16.8 31
16 Mallorca 28 7 7 14 -12 -17.1 28
17 Alaves 28 7 7 14 -12 -5.0 28
18 Elche 28 5 11 12 -9 -18.0 26
19 Levante 28 5 8 15 -16 -13.5 23
20 Oviedo 28 4 9 15 -26 -19.8 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Villarreal Sociedad
1–0 G. Moreno
S. Comesana
7′
2–0 G. Mikautadze
15′
3–0 N. Pepe
G. Mikautadze
23′
38′
🟨 Jon Aramburu
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 L. Sucic
↦ J. Gorrotxategi
47′
L. Sucic 3–1
54′
🔁 D. Caleta-Car
↦ I. Zubeldia
68′
🔁 A. Elustondo
↦ J. Aramburu
68′
🔁 O. Oskarsson
↦ B. Mendez
A. Gonzalez 🔁
↦ A. Moleiro
74′
T. Buchanan 🔁
↦ G. Moreno
74′
78′
🟨 Gonçalo Guedes
82′
🔁 A. Zakharyan
↦ M. Oyarzabal
D. Parejo 🔁
↦ P. Gueye
89′
T. Partey 🔁
↦ S. Comesana
89′
T. Oluwaseyi 🔁
↦ G. Mikautadze
89′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Villarreal

4-4-2
1 Luiz Junior G
15 S. Mourino D
6 P. Navarro D
12 R. Veiga D
24 A. Pedraza D
19 N. Pepe M
14 S. Comesana M
18 P. Gueye M
20 A. Moleiro M
7 G. Moreno F
9 G. Mikautadze F
Bench (10)
25 A. Tenas
10 D. Parejo
23 S. Cardona
5 W. Kambwala
16 T. Partey
11 A. Gonzalez
17 T. Buchanan
4 R. Marin
3 A. Freeman
21 T. Oluwaseyi

Coach: Marcelino

Sociedad

4-4-2
1 A. Remiro G
2 J. Aramburu D
31 J. Martin D
5 I. Zubeldia D
17 S. Gomez D
7 A. Barrenetxea M
4 J. Gorrotxategi M
18 C. Soler M
11 G. Guedes M
23 B. Mendez F
10 M. Oyarzabal F
Bench (12)
13 U. Marrero
16 D. Caleta-Car
6 A. Elustondo
24 L. Sucic
9 O. Oskarsson
21 A. Zakharyan
19 J. Karrikaburu
3 A. Munoz
15 P. Marin
22 Wesley
43 T. Carbonell
46 I. Aguirre

Coach: Pellegrino Matarazzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,93
U
3,62
B
3,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,75
U2,5
2,02
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Ortiz · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.