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La Liga

Referee: Valentín Pizarro

Celta

U U S T U

3–1

Full-time

Espanol

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Espanol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 30%

24%

35%

Points per game

1,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

41%

35%

Both score Ø 41%

41%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%

12 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 3

6 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 5

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celta 14. · Espanol 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	17	13	3	1	+24	42
2	Sevilla	16	10	4	2	+15	34
3	Betis	17	10	3	4	+12	33
4	Ath Madrid	16	8	5	3	+9	29
5	Sociedad	17	8	5	4	+2	29
6	Vallecano	17	8	3	6	+6	27
7	Valencia	17	6	7	4	+3	25
8	Barcelona	16	6	6	4	+6	24
9	Espanol	17	6	5	6	+1	23
10	Osasuna	17	5	7	5	-4	22
11	Ath Bilbao	17	4	9	4	+1	21
12	Mallorca	17	4	8	5	-7	20
13	Villarreal	16	4	7	5	+1	19
14	Celta	17	4	5	8	-4	17
15	Granada	16	3	7	6	-7	16
16	Elche	17	3	6	8	-8	15
17	Alaves	16	4	3	9	-9	15
18	Cadiz	17	2	7	8	-16	13
19	Getafe	17	2	6	9	-9	12
20	Levante	17	0	8	9	-16	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vallecano	8	7	1	0	+14	22
2	Real Madrid	8	6	2	0	+13	20
3	Espanol	9	6	2	1	+7	20
4	Sevilla	7	6	1	0	+12	19
5	Betis	9	5	2	2	+9	17
6	Barcelona	9	5	2	2	+7	17
7	Valencia	9	4	4	1	+6	16
8	Ath Madrid	8	4	3	1	+6	15
9	Sociedad	8	4	3	1	+2	15
10	Villarreal	8	4	2	2	+5	14
11	Mallorca	9	2	6	1	+1	12
12	Ath Bilbao	8	3	2	3	+1	11
13	Elche	8	2	4	2	-1	10
14	Alaves	9	3	1	5	-5	10
15	Getafe	8	2	2	4	-1	8
16	Granada	7	2	2	3	-3	8
17	Osasuna	9	1	5	3	-6	8
18	Levante	8	0	6	2	-5	6
19	Celta	9	1	2	6	-6	5
20	Cadiz	9	0	5	4	-8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	9	7	1	1	+11	22
2	Betis	8	5	1	2	+3	16
3	Sevilla	9	4	3	2	+3	15
4	Ath Madrid	8	4	2	2	+3	14
5	Osasuna	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	Sociedad	9	4	2	3	+0	14
7	Celta	8	3	3	2	+2	12
8	Ath Bilbao	9	1	7	1	+0	10
9	Valencia	8	2	3	3	-3	9
10	Granada	9	1	5	3	-4	8
11	Cadiz	8	2	2	4	-8	8
12	Mallorca	8	2	2	4	-8	8
13	Barcelona	7	1	4	2	-1	7
14	Alaves	7	1	2	4	-4	5
15	Villarreal	8	0	5	3	-4	5
16	Elche	9	1	2	6	-7	5
17	Vallecano	9	1	2	6	-8	5
18	Getafe	9	0	4	5	-8	4
19	Espanol	8	0	3	5	-6	3
20	Levante	9	0	2	7	-11	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.