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Championship
Referee: D Webb
5–0
Full-time
Cardiff
U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield Weds Cardiff
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
This season — Championship · 38/39 matches
Win Ø 34%
26%
41%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
34%
44%
Both score Ø 43%
39%
46%
Average goals
2,0
2,4
Scored
0,7
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

54% Possession 46%
12 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 9
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 7
15 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sheffield Weds 22. · Cardiff 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 39 25 9 5 +29 84
2 Watford 40 23 10 7 +30 79
3 Barnsley 38 20 8 10 +12 68
4 Reading 40 19 9 12 +13 66
5 Brentford 36 18 11 7 +25 65
6 Bournemouth 38 18 11 9 +23 65
7 Swansea 36 18 8 10 +10 62
8 Cardiff 39 16 10 13 +17 58
9 Millwall 40 14 16 10 +4 58
10 Middlesbrough 40 16 9 15 +5 57
11 Stoke 40 14 13 13 +1 55
12 QPR 39 14 11 14 -3 53
13 Luton 39 14 8 17 -13 50
14 Bristol City 40 15 4 21 -15 49
15 Nott'm Forest 40 12 12 16 -5 48
16 Preston 40 14 6 20 -9 48
17 Blackburn 40 12 10 18 +5 46
18 Huddersfield 38 11 10 17 -11 43
19 Derby 40 11 10 19 -15 43
20 Coventry 39 10 12 17 -17 42
21 Birmingham 39 10 11 18 -21 41
22 Sheffield Weds 38 10 8 20 -20 38
23 Rotherham 36 10 5 21 -13 35
24 Wycombe 40 8 9 23 -32 33

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield Weds Cardiff
1–0 J. Börner
B. Bannan
4′
2–0 C. Paterson
L. Palmer
20′
3–0 A. Reach
J. Windass
23′
Half-time 4–0
4–0 J. Rhodes
C. Paterson
65′
5–0 A. Reach
J. Windass
69′
71′
🔁 H. Wilson
↦ J. Williams
72′
🔁 S. Ojo
↦ L. Bacuna
72′
🔁 M. Watters
↦ K. Moore
E. Kachunga 🔁
↦ J. Windass
81′
J. Pelupessy 🔁
↦ S. Hutchinson
82′
A. Green 🔁
↦ J. Rhodes
82′
L. Shaw 🔁
↦ B. Bannan
93′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Sheffield Weds

3-4-1-2
28 J. Wildsmith G
13 J. Börner D
6 S. Hutchinson M
15 T. Lees D
11 A. Reach M
5 C. Paterson F
19 O. Urhoghide D
10 B. Bannan M
2 L. Palmer M
18 J. Windass F
20 J. Rhodes F
Bench (9)
45 E. Kachunga
8 J. Pelupessy
16 A. Green
26 L. Shaw
24 I. Brown
7 K. Harris
34 C. Brennan
1 K. Westwood
29 A. Hunt

Coach: D. Moore

Cardiff

3-4-2-1
1 D. Phillips G
5 A. Flint D
16 C. Nelson D
28 T. Sang M
30 C. Brown D
15 J. Williams F
7 L. Bacuna F
21 M. Pack M
8 J. Ralls M
6 W. Vaulks M
10 K. Moore F
Bench (8)
23 H. Wilson
27 S. Ojo
19 M. Watters
12 A. Smithies
33 J. Hoilett
29 M. Harris
38 P. Ng
40 R. Colwill

Coach: M. McCarthy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,30
U
3,11
B
2,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,32
U2,5
1,60
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Webb · 199 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.