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Ligue 2
Valenciennes
T U S S T
1–0
Full-time
Chateauroux
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valenciennes Chateauroux
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

16 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 1
6 Corners 3
16 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Valenciennes 8. · Chateauroux 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris FC 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Sochaux 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Le Havre 3 2 0 1 +1 6
4 Dunkerque 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Niort 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Rodez 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Caen 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Valenciennes 2 1 0 1 +2 3
9 Grenoble 2 1 0 1 +1 3
10 Troyes 2 1 0 1 +1 3
11 Chateauroux 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Amiens 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Auxerre 2 1 0 1 -1 3
14 Clermont 2 0 2 0 +0 2
15 Nancy 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Guingamp 3 0 1 2 -3 1
17 Chambly 2 0 1 1 -3 1
18 Pau FC 2 0 1 1 -3 1
19 Ajaccio 2 0 0 2 -2 0
20 Toulouse 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,18
U
3,09
B
3,39
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,22
U2,5 ✓
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.