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Bundesliga
Referee: M Petersen
Augsburg
T S T U T
2–3
Full-time
FC Koln
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg FC Koln
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 25%
30%
20%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
43%
60%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
60%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

53% Possession 47%
13 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
17 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Augsburg 12. · FC Koln 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 30 22 5 3 +47 71
2 RB Leipzig 30 18 7 5 +28 61
3 Wolfsburg 30 16 9 5 +24 57
4 Ein Frankfurt 30 15 11 4 +17 56
5 Dortmund 30 16 4 10 +22 52
6 Leverkusen 30 13 8 9 +14 47
7 M'gladbach 30 11 10 9 +8 43
8 Union Berlin 30 10 13 7 +7 43
9 Freiburg 29 11 7 11 +2 40
10 Stuttgart 30 10 9 11 +3 39
11 Hoffenheim 30 9 8 13 -5 35
12 Augsburg 30 9 6 15 -15 33
13 Mainz 29 8 7 14 -17 31
14 Werder Bremen 30 7 9 14 -15 30
15 Bielefeld 30 8 6 16 -23 30
16 Hertha 28 6 8 14 -14 26
17 FC Koln 30 6 8 16 -25 26
18 Schalke 04 30 2 7 21 -58 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Augsburg FC Koln
8′
O. Duda 0–1
E. Skhiri
23′
F. Kainz 0–2
B. Schmitz
33′
O. Duda 0–3
M. Wolf
R. Gumny 🔁
↦ R. Framberger
42′
J. Morávek 🔁
↦ T. Strobl
42′
Robert Gumny 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Marius Wolf
Half-time 0–3
F. Jensen 🔁
↦ A. Finnbogason
46′
Carlos Gruezo 🟨
52′
1–3 R. Gumny
54′
2–3 R. Vargas
F. Jensen
62′
65′
🔁 N. Katterbach
↦ J. Horn
69′
🔁 D. Drexler
↦ F. Kainz
79′
🔁 E. Rexhbecaj
↦ S. Andersson
80′
🟨 Elvis Rexhbeçaj
M. Richter 🔁
↦ D. Caligiuri
87′
90′
🟨 Ondrej Duda
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Augsburg

4-4-2
1 R. Gikiewicz G
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
32 R. Framberger D
22 Iago D
20 D. Caligiuri M
28 A. Hahn F
33 T. Strobl M
25 C. Gruezo M
36 R. Oxford D
16 R. Vargas M
27 A. Finnbogason F
Bench (9)
2 R. Gumny
14 J. Morávek
24 F. Jensen
23 M. Richter
40 T. Koubek
3 M. Pedersen
18 L. Bénes
7 F. Niederlechner
5 M. Suchý

Coach: H. Herrlich

FC Koln

4-1-4-1
1 T. Horn G
5 R. Czichos D
2 B. Schmitz D
23 J. Horn D
33 S. Bornauw D
11 F. Kainz M
14 J. Hector M
18 O. Duda M
31 M. Wolf M
28 E. Skhiri M
9 S. Andersson F
Bench (9)
3 N. Katterbach
24 D. Drexler
20 E. Rexhbecaj
22 Jorge Meré
13 M. Meyer
6 M. Höger
16 R. Zieler
43 E. Dennis
21 S. Özcan

Coach: F. Funkel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,91
U
3,26
B ✓
2,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,14
U2,5
1,71
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Petersen · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.