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Ekstraklasa
Podbeskidzie
T S T T T
1–0
Full-time
Lech Poznan
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Podbeskidzie Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 25%
19%
31%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
62%
54%
Both score Ø 56%
58%
54%
Average goals
3,2
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Podbeskidzie 16. · Lech Poznan 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Legia 26 17 5 4 +22 56
2 Pogon Szczecin 26 15 5 6 +16 50
3 Rakow 26 14 7 5 +17 49
4 Piast Gliwice 26 10 8 8 +7 38
5 Lechia Gdansk 26 11 5 10 +3 38
6 Slask Wroclaw 27 10 8 9 +3 38
7 Zaglebie 26 11 5 10 +2 38
8 Warta Poznan 26 11 3 12 -1 36
9 Lech Poznan 26 8 9 9 +2 33
10 Gornik Zabrze 26 9 6 11 -1 33
11 Jagiellonia 26 9 6 11 -6 33
12 Cracovia 26 7 11 8 -4 32
13 Wisla 26 7 7 12 -3 28
14 Wisla Plock 26 6 8 12 -11 26
15 Stal Mielec 25 4 9 12 -17 21
16 Podbeskidzie 26 5 6 15 -29 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.