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Primeira Liga
Referee: Vitor Ferreira
Boavista
S T T T U
0–1
Full-time
Moreirense
U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boavista Moreirense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
This season — Primeira Liga · 25/26 matches
Win Ø 28%
28%
27%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
16%
42%
Both score Ø 55%
40%
69%
Average goals
1,7
2,6
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
26 Shots 5
9 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 9
7 Corners 2
21 Free kicks against 24
4 Yellow cards 6
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Boavista 11. · Moreirense 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 27 21 3 3 +41 66
2 Benfica 27 20 4 3 +39 64
3 Sp Braga 27 15 4 8 +15 49
4 Sp Lisbon 26 14 4 8 +13 46
5 Famalicao 26 12 7 7 +2 43
6 Rio Ave 25 11 8 6 +10 41
7 Guimaraes 26 10 9 7 +15 39
8 Gil Vicente 27 8 10 9 -4 34
9 Santa Clara 26 9 7 10 -6 34
10 Moreirense 26 7 11 8 +2 32
11 Boavista 25 7 8 10 -5 29
12 Setubal 25 6 11 8 -10 29
13 Vitoria Setubal 25 6 11 8 -10 29
14 Belenenses 26 8 5 13 -18 29
15 Maritimo 27 5 12 10 -10 27
16 Tondela 27 6 9 12 -13 27
17 Pacos Ferreira 25 6 4 15 -17 22
18 Portimonense 27 3 12 12 -17 21
19 Aves 26 4 1 21 -27 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Boavista Moreirense
13′
🟨 Gabrielzinho
Half-time 0–1
48′
Filipe Soares 0–1
62′
🟨 B. Aouacheria
F. Cardozo 🔁
↦ Heriberto Tavares
65′
66′
🔁 Pedro Nuno
↦ Gabrielzinho
Y. Ackah 🟨
71′
Y. Njie 🔁
↦ Y. Ackah
77′
Marlon Xavier 🔁
↦ Ricardo Costa
77′
Fabiano 🟨
88′
89′
🟨 F. Pacheco
90′
🔁 Sori Mané
↦ Fábio Pacheco
91′
🟨 N. Pedro
91′
🟨 S. Mane
Neris 🟨
95′
Fabiano 🟨
95′
Fabiano 🟥
95′
95′
🟨 L. Rosic
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Boavista

3-4-2-1
90 Helton Leite G
18 Fabiano D
27 Neris D
22 Ricardo Costa D
17 Carraça M
30 Paulinho M
88 Y. Ackah M
14 Alberto Bueno F
39 Cassiano F
8 Gustavo F
91 Heriberto Tavares M
Bench (7)
21 F. Cardozo
11 Y. Njie
6 Marlon Xavier
9 Mateus
42 I. Mandiang
13 G. Dulanto
1 Rafael Bracalli

Coach: Daniel Ramos

Moreirense

4-1-4-1
14 Mateus Pasinato G
2 João Aurélio D
3 L. Rosić D
4 Iago Santos D
5 A. D'Alberto D
6 Fábio Pacheco M
26 Alex Soares M
90 Gabrielzinho M
21 Filipe Soares M
10 B. Aouacheria M
29 Fábio Abreu F
Bench (7)
27 Pedro Nuno
16 Sori Mané
88 Pedro Trigueira
23 R. Halliche
7 Nenê
22 L. Singh
77 Nuno Santos

Coach: Ricardo Soares

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,45
U
3,01
B ✓
3,02
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,47
U2,5 ✓
1,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Vitor Ferreira · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.