Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Mainz
Ein Frankfurt
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
M'gladbach
|
13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +13 | 28 |
| 2 |
RB Leipzig
|
13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +21 | 27 |
| 3 |
Schalke 04
|
13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +8 | 25 |
| 4 |
Bayern Munich
|
13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +16 | 24 |
| 5 |
Dortmund
|
13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +9 | 23 |
| 6 |
Freiburg
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +6 | 22 |
| 7 |
Leverkusen
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 22 |
| 8 |
Hoffenheim
|
13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 21 |
| 9 |
Wolfsburg
|
13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 20 |
| 10 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +3 | 17 |
| 11 |
Union Berlin
|
13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 |
Werder Bremen
|
13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 14 |
| 13 |
Augsburg
|
13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 14 |
Fortuna Dusseldorf
|
13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 12 |
| 15 |
Mainz
|
12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -14 | 12 |
| 16 |
Hertha
|
13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -9 | 11 |
| 17 |
FC Koln
|
13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -16 | 8 |
| 18 |
Paderborn
|
13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -16 | 5 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
R. Zentner
G
Aarón Martín
M
M. Niakhate
D
J. St. Juste
D
E. Fernandes
D
Coach: A. Beierlorzer
F. Rønnow
G
D. da Costa
M
O. N'Dicka
D
F. Kostić
M
D. Kohr
M
D. Sow
M
D. Kamada
F
Gonçalo Paciência
F
Coach: A. Hütter
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Hoffenheim
Mainz
Mainz
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
Mainz
Mainz
FC Koln
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Mainz
M Gräfe · 32 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.