Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
Cittadella
Cosenza
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Empoli
|
21 | 11 | 9 | 1 | +22 | 42 |
| 2 |
Monza
|
21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | +14 | 36 |
| 3 |
Chievo
|
21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | +11 | 36 |
| 4 |
Salernitana
|
21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 36 |
| 5 |
Cittadella
|
21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | +14 | 35 |
| 6 |
Spal
|
21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | +9 | 35 |
| 7 |
Venezia
|
21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | +5 | 32 |
| 8 |
Lecce
|
21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | +9 | 31 |
| 9 | Pordenone | 21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | +6 | 29 |
| 10 |
Frosinone
|
21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | -2 | 28 |
| 11 |
Pisa
|
21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | -6 | 27 |
| 12 |
Vicenza
|
21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | -1 | 25 |
| 13 |
Cremonese
|
21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | -5 | 23 |
| 14 |
Brescia
|
21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | -5 | 22 |
| 15 |
Reggina
|
21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | -7 | 22 |
| 16 |
Cosenza
|
21 | 3 | 12 | 6 | -2 | 21 |
| 17 |
Reggiana
|
21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | -15 | 21 |
| 18 |
Ascoli
|
21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -10 | 20 |
| 19 |
Virtus Entella
|
21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -17 | 17 |
| 20 |
Pescara
|
21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -21 | 16 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Brescia
Cittadella
Cittadella
Cremonese
Chievo
Cittadella
Venezia
Cittadella
Cittadella
Ascoli
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.