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Premiership

Referee: C Scott

Kilmarnock

T U T S S

3–1

Full-time

Dundee

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Dundee

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 25%

22%

28%

Points per game

0,9

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

64%

56%

Both score Ø 49%

53%

44%

Average goals

3,0

2,6

Scored

1,2

1,1

Conceded

1,8

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3,38 xG 0,43

52% Possession 48%

19 Shots 7

8 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 18

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kilmarnock 10. · Dundee 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	36	23	8	5	+32	+14.2	77
2	Celtic	36	24	4	8	+29	+24.0	76
3	Rangers	36	19	12	5	+31	+21.1	69
4	Motherwell	36	15	13	8	+23	+8.8	58
5	Hibernian	36	14	12	10	+14	+0.7	54
6	Falkirk	36	14	7	15	-6	+3.3	49
7	Dundee United	36	10	13	13	-11	-12.1	43
8	Aberdeen	36	11	7	18	-12	-13.7	40
9	Dundee	36	10	9	17	-18	-11.4	39
10	Kilmarnock	36	8	10	18	-23	-14.0	34
11	St Mirren	36	7	9	20	-27	-3.7	30
12	Livingston	36	2	14	20	-32	-17.1	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	18	14	4	0	+23	+7.8	46
2	Celtic	18	14	1	3	+26	+15.8	43
3	Rangers	18	11	5	2	+19	+16.1	38
4	Motherwell	18	10	6	2	+20	+11.4	36
5	Hibernian	18	8	6	4	+14	+5.4	30
6	Dundee	18	8	4	6	+2	-6.3	28
7	Dundee United	18	7	6	5	+2	-3.0	27
8	Aberdeen	18	7	5	6	+7	-3.9	26
9	Falkirk	19	7	5	7	+2	+5.7	26
10	Kilmarnock	18	6	4	8	-2	-0.5	22
11	St Mirren	18	5	5	8	-11	+1.4	20
12	Livingston	17	1	8	8	-9	-5.6	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	18	10	3	5	+3	+8.1	33
2	Rangers	18	8	7	3	+12	+5.0	31
3	Hearts	18	9	4	5	+9	+6.5	31
4	Hibernian	18	6	6	6	+0	-4.7	24
5	Falkirk	17	7	2	8	-8	-2.4	23
6	Motherwell	18	5	7	6	+3	-2.7	22
7	Dundee United	18	3	7	8	-13	-9.1	16
8	Aberdeen	18	4	2	12	-19	-9.8	14
9	Kilmarnock	18	2	6	10	-21	-13.5	12
10	Dundee	18	2	5	11	-20	-5.1	11
11	St Mirren	18	2	4	12	-16	-5.1	10
12	Livingston	19	1	6	12	-23	-11.5	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.