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Belgisk cup
Referee: B Van Driessche
Club Brugge
S S S S U
2–1
Full-time
St. Gilloise
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 92%
83%
100%
Points per game
2,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
3,2
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Belgisk cup · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
3,7
2,0
Conceded
0,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+3,7
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Club Brugge 11. · St. Gilloise 18. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Onhaye 5 4 1 0 +15 13
2 Elene-Grotenberge 6 4 1 1 +1 13
3 Oostende 4 4 0 0 +11 12
4 Crossing Schaerbeek 5 4 0 1 +8 12
5 Meux 5 4 0 1 +7 12
6 Sint-Lenaarts 5 4 0 1 +3 12
7 Knokke 5 3 2 0 +6 11
8 RAS Monceau 4 3 1 0 +4 10
9 Harelbeke 5 3 1 1 -1 10
10 Racing Mechelen 4 3 0 1 +14 9
11 Club Brugge 3 3 0 0 +11 9
12 RAAL La Louviere 4 3 0 1 +10 9
13 Roeselare Daisel 3 3 0 0 +10 9
14 Antwerp 3 3 0 0 +7 9
15 Sprimont 4 3 0 1 +6 9
16 Thes Sport 4 3 0 1 +5 9
17 Destelbergen 4 3 0 1 +4 9
18 St. Gilloise 3 3 0 0 +4 9
19 Marloie Sport 4 3 0 1 +3 9
20 Ethe Belmont 4 3 0 1 +3 9
21 Ninove 4 3 0 1 +3 9
22 Tongeren 4 3 0 1 +2 9
23 URSL Visé 4 3 0 1 +2 9
24 Beaufays 4 3 0 1 -1 9
25 Montignies 4 3 0 1 -4 9
26 Habay-la-Neuve 5 2 2 1 +5 8
27 Esperanza Pelt 4 2 2 0 +3 8
28 Albert Quévy-Mons 4 2 1 1 +11 7
29 Oudenaarde 3 2 1 0 +9 7
30 Lokeren-Temse 3 2 1 0 +7 7
31 VW Hamme 4 2 1 1 +6 7
32 Sporting Tisselt 3 2 1 0 +5 7
33 Ostiches 3 2 1 0 +4 7
34 Landen 3 2 1 0 +3 7
35 Lauwe 3 2 1 0 +3 7
36 Achel 4 2 1 1 +2 7
37 Herent 3 2 1 0 +2 7
38 Ster-Francorchamps 3 2 1 0 +2 7
39 Olympic Charleroi 4 2 1 1 +1 7
40 Jodoigne 5 2 1 2 -5 7
41 Haasdonk 4 2 1 1 -6 7
42 Wezel 3 2 0 1 +11 6
43 RUS Binche 3 2 0 1 +10 6
44 Rebecq 3 2 0 1 +8 6
45 De Kempen 3 2 0 1 +6 6
46 Groen Star Beek 3 2 0 1 +6 6
47 Sottegem 3 2 0 1 +6 6
48 Biesme 3 2 0 1 +6 6
49 Péruwelz 3 2 0 1 +5 6
50 Warnant 3 2 0 1 +5 6
51 Beauraing 3 2 0 1 +4 6
52 Berchem Sport 3 2 0 1 +4 6
53 Merelbeke 3 2 0 1 +3 6
54 Wilrijk 3 2 0 1 +3 6
55 Diest 3 2 0 1 +3 6
56 Rupel Boom 3 2 0 1 +2 6
57 Antoing 3 2 0 1 +2 6
58 Antonia 3 2 0 1 +2 6
59 Wellen 3 2 0 1 +2 6
60 Gent 3 2 0 1 +2 6
61 Anderlecht 3 2 0 1 +2 6
62 JS Fizoise 3 2 0 1 +1 6
63 's Gravenwezel-Schilde 3 2 0 1 +1 6
64 Beveren 3 2 0 1 +1 6
65 Eendracht Aalst 3 2 0 1 +1 6
66 RWD Molenbeek 3 2 0 1 +0 6
67 Hamoir 3 2 0 1 -2 6
68 Stade Bierbeek 3 2 0 1 -9 6
69 Torpedo Hasselt 3 1 2 0 +14 5
70 Wolvertem Merchtem 3 1 2 0 +4 5
71 Genappe 3 1 2 0 +4 5
72 Ganshoren 4 1 2 1 -3 5
73 Zelzate 2 1 1 0 +7 4
74 Raeren-Eynatten 2 1 1 0 +4 4
75 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3 1 1 1 +4 4
76 Flavion-Morialmé 3 1 1 1 +4 4
77 Rochefort 3 1 1 1 +4 4
78 Aische 2 1 1 0 +4 4
79 Spouwen-Mopertingen 3 1 1 1 +3 4
80 Denderhoutem 2 1 1 0 +2 4
81 Hornu 2 1 1 0 +2 4
82 Entité Manageoise 2 1 1 0 +1 4
83 Houtvenne 2 1 1 0 +1 4
84 Wevelgem City 2 1 1 0 +1 4
85 Hannut 2 1 1 0 +1 4
86 Geel 2 1 1 0 +1 4
87 Sparta Heestert 2 1 1 0 +1 4
88 Wambeek-Ternat 2 1 1 0 +1 4
89 Zwijndrecht 2 1 1 0 +1 4
90 Dender 2 1 1 0 +1 4
91 Blankenberge 2 1 1 0 +1 4
92 SC Zonnebeke 2 1 1 0 +1 4
93 Verviers 2 1 1 0 +1 4
94 Walhain 2 1 1 0 +1 4
95 Villers-La-Ville 3 1 1 1 +0 4
96 KBSK Retie 3 1 1 1 +0 4
97 Wanze / Bas-Oha 3 1 1 1 -1 4
98 Waregem 3 1 1 1 -1 4
99 Spy 3 1 1 1 -1 4
100 Houdinois 3 1 1 1 -1 4
101 Hoogstraten 3 1 1 1 -1 4
102 Fortuna Smeermaas 3 1 1 1 -1 4
103 Eppegem 3 1 1 1 -2 4
104 Perwez 3 1 1 1 -2 4
105 Vlijtingen 3 1 1 1 -4 4
106 Braine 3 1 1 1 -4 4
107 BX Brussels 4 1 1 2 -5 4
108 Kalfort Puursica 3 1 1 1 -9 4
109 Richelle United 2 1 0 1 +6 3
110 Drongen 2 1 0 1 +5 3
111 Svelta Melsele II 2 1 0 1 +4 3
112 Acren-Lessines 2 1 0 1 +4 3
113 Rotselaar 2 1 0 1 +4 3
114 Eendracht Termien 2 1 0 1 +4 3
115 Beringen 2 1 0 1 +4 3
116 Sporting Kampenhout 2 1 0 1 +3 3
117 Estaimbourg 2 1 0 1 +3 3
118 Standard 2 1 0 1 +3 3
119 Turnhout 2 1 0 1 +3 3
120 Rhodienne-De Hoek 2 1 0 1 +3 3
121 Gouvy 2 1 0 1 +3 3
122 Gilly 2 1 0 1 +3 3
123 Sint-Denijs Sport 2 1 0 1 +3 3
124 Oostkamp 2 1 0 1 +2 3
125 Dikkelvenne 2 1 0 1 +2 3
126 Genk 2 1 0 1 +2 3
127 Saive 2 1 0 1 +2 3
128 K. Kontich 2 1 0 1 +2 3
129 Tournai 2 1 0 1 +2 3
130 Diegem Sport 2 1 0 1 +2 3
131 Flénu 2 1 0 1 +2 3
132 Eendracht Aalter 2 1 0 1 +2 3
133 Hades 2 1 0 1 +2 3
134 St Truiden 2 1 0 1 +2 3
135 KRC Gent 2 1 0 1 +2 3
136 DT Borsbeke 2 1 0 1 +1 3
137 Dessel Sport 2 1 0 1 +1 3
138 Kadijk Overpelt 2 1 0 1 +1 3
139 Sassport Boezinge 2 1 0 1 +1 3
140 Jette 2 1 0 1 +1 3
141 Berlare 2 1 0 1 +1 3
142 Pepingen-Halle 2 1 0 1 +1 3
143 Dottignies 2 1 0 1 +1 3
144 Malmundaria 2 1 0 1 +0 3
145 Charleroi 2 1 0 1 +0 3
146 Wielsbeke 2 1 0 1 +0 3
147 Sparta Petegem 2 1 0 1 +0 3
148 Francs Borains 2 1 0 1 +0 3
149 Diksmuide 2 1 0 1 +0 3
150 Libramont 2 1 0 1 +0 3
151 K. Lierse S.K. 2 1 0 1 +0 3
152 Patro Eisden 2 1 0 1 +0 3
153 Ternesse 2 1 0 1 +0 3
154 HO Kalken 2 1 0 1 +0 3
155 Meix-Devant-Virton 2 1 0 1 +0 3
156 US Dinantaise 2 1 0 1 +0 3
157 Eendracht Maasmechelen 2 1 0 1 +0 3
158 Stockay-Warfusée 2 1 0 1 +0 3
159 Heusy Rouheid 2 1 0 1 -1 3
160 RFC Wetteren 2 1 0 1 -1 3
161 Paliseulois 2 1 0 1 -1 3
162 Olsa Brakel 2 1 0 1 -1 3
163 Alken 2 1 0 1 -1 3
164 Galmaarden 2 1 0 1 -1 3
165 Wallonne Ciney 2 1 0 1 -1 3
166 Ardennen 2 1 0 1 -1 3
167 Rumbeke 2 1 0 1 -1 3
168 Ardooie 2 1 0 1 -2 3
169 Longlier 2 1 0 1 -2 3
170 Lokeren Doorslaar 2 1 0 1 -2 3
171 FC Du Geer 2 1 0 1 -2 3
172 Grembergen 2 1 0 1 -2 3
173 Oostnieuwkerke 2 1 0 1 -2 3
174 Messancy 2 1 0 1 -3 3
175 WIK Eine 2 1 0 1 -3 3
176 Wijnegem 2 1 0 1 -3 3
177 Evelette-Jallet 2 1 0 1 -3 3
178 Roy-Lignieres 2 1 0 1 -3 3
179 Profondeville 2 1 0 1 -3 3
180 Ekeren Donk 2 1 0 1 -4 3
181 WSAC Fleurus 2 1 0 1 -4 3
182 Belœil 2 1 0 1 -5 3
183 Wanze / Bas-Oha II 2 1 0 1 -8 3
184 Anvaing 2 1 0 1 -9 3
185 Bocholt 2 0 2 0 +0 2
186 Excelsior Virton 3 0 2 1 -1 2
187 Erpe-Mere United 3 0 2 1 -2 2
188 Léopold 3 0 2 1 -2 2
189 RESC Houffaloise 3 0 2 1 -5 2
190 Sint-Dymphna 3 0 2 1 -5 2
191 Loyers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
192 Westhoek 1 0 1 0 +0 1
193 Sterrebeek 1 0 1 0 +0 1
194 Cercle Brugge 1 0 1 0 +0 1
195 Condruzien 1 0 1 0 +0 1
196 Zepperen-Brustem 1 0 1 0 +0 1
197 Mormont 1 0 1 0 +0 1
198 Fenixx BeigHum 1 0 1 0 +0 1
199 Tienen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
200 Oppagne-Wéris 1 0 1 0 +0 1
201 Tubize 1 0 1 0 +0 1
202 Schoonbeek-Beverst 1 0 1 0 +0 1
203 Boutersem United 1 0 1 0 +0 1
204 KSK Beveren 1 0 1 0 +0 1
205 Auderghem 1 0 1 0 +0 1
206 Jong Lede 1 0 1 0 +0 1
207 Cappellen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
208 Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
209 Sint-Eloois-Winkel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
210 Mandel United 1 0 1 0 +0 1
211 Mechelen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
212 Deinze 1 0 1 0 +0 1
213 Sporting Bruxelles 1 0 1 0 +0 1
214 Zandhovense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
215 Ans Montegnée 1 0 1 0 +0 1
216 Luingnois II 1 0 1 0 +0 1
217 Petigny-Frasnes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
218 Schriek 1 0 1 0 +0 1
219 Bastogne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
220 Kattenbos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
221 Saint-Michel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
222 's Herenelderen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
223 Zuun 1 0 1 0 +0 1
224 Betekom 1 0 1 0 +0 1
225 Voorde Appelterre 1 0 1 0 +0 1
226 Svelta Melsele 2 0 1 1 -1 1
227 City Pirates Antwerpen 2 0 1 1 -1 1
228 Veltem 2 0 1 1 -1 1
229 La Louvière Centre 2 0 1 1 -1 1
230 La Calamine 2 0 1 1 -1 1
231 Avanti 2 0 1 1 -1 1
232 FC Lebbeke 2 0 1 1 -1 1
233 PSV 1820 2 0 1 1 -1 1
234 Kortrijk 2 0 1 1 -1 1
235 Herk 2 0 1 1 -1 1
236 Aywaille 2 0 1 1 -1 1
237 Kosova Schaerbeek 2 0 1 1 -1 1
238 Grand-Leez 2 0 1 1 -2 1
239 Racing Waregem 2 0 1 1 -3 1
240 Isièroise 2 0 1 1 -4 1
241 Tempo Overijse 2 0 1 1 -5 1
242 Beerschot VA 2 0 1 1 -6 1
243 Nieuwerkerken 2 0 1 1 -6 1
244 Verlaine 2 0 1 1 -6 1
245 Tielt-Winge 3000 2 0 1 1 -7 1
246 Richelle United II 2 0 1 1 -7 1
247 Croatia Wandre 1 0 0 1 -1 0
248 Saint-André Ochamps 1 0 0 1 -1 0
249 Gullegem 1 0 0 1 -1 0
250 Olympia Wijgmaal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
251 Lille 1 0 0 1 -1 0
252 Varsenare 1 0 0 1 -1 0
253 Berg en Dal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
254 Ritterklub Jette 1 0 0 1 -1 0
255 Hoboken 1 0 0 1 -1 0
256 Eendracht Mazenzele 1 0 0 1 -1 0
257 Brasschaat 1 0 0 1 -1 0
258 Honsfeld 1 0 0 1 -1 0
259 Olen United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
260 SC Duffel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
261 Stade Verviers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
262 Nijlen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
263 Zwarte Leeuw 1 0 0 1 -1 0
264 Sporting Hasselt 1 0 0 1 -1 0
265 Eendracht Wervik 1 0 0 1 -1 0
266 Huy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
267 Witgoor Sport 1 0 0 1 -1 0
268 KFC Eksel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
269 RUS Assenois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
270 Meulebeke 1 0 0 1 -1 0
271 Heikant Zele 1 0 0 1 -1 0
272 Loenhout 1 0 0 1 -1 0
273 Bredene 1 0 0 1 -1 0
274 Entité Wasseiges 1 0 0 1 -1 0
275 Obigies 1 0 0 1 -1 0
276 Jong Zulte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
277 Molenbaix 1 0 0 1 -1 0
278 Linden 1 0 0 1 -1 0
279 Waremme 1 0 0 1 -1 0
280 Chevetogne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
281 Jeunesse Tamines 1 0 0 1 -1 0
282 Moen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
283 Herstal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
284 Meeuwen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
285 Union La Calamine II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
286 Bütgenbach 1 0 0 1 -1 0
287 Saint-Josse 1 0 0 1 -1 0
288 Kleit Maldegem 1 0 0 1 -1 0
289 Meux II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
290 Thumaide 1 0 0 1 -1 0
291 Grün-Weiss Amel 1 0 0 1 -2 0
292 Daring Brugge 1 0 0 1 -2 0
293 Excelsior Zedelgem 1 0 0 1 -2 0
294 Heist 1 0 0 1 -2 0
295 Munkzwalm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
296 Volkegem 1 0 0 1 -2 0
297 Westerlo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
298 Aubel 1 0 0 1 -2 0
299 Grez-Doiceau 1 0 0 1 -2 0
300 Lorraine Arlon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
301 Londerzeel 1 0 0 1 -2 0
302 Bellem 1 0 0 1 -2 0
303 Arquet 1 0 0 1 -2 0
304 Torhout 1 0 0 1 -2 0
305 Seraing United 1 0 0 1 -2 0
306 Meer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
307 Ruddervoorde II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
308 Couvin-Mariembourg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
309 Jeunesse Freylangeoise 1 0 0 1 -2 0
310 Poesele 1 0 0 1 -2 0
311 Rapid Symphorinois 1 0 0 1 -2 0
312 Stormvogels Drieslinter 1 0 0 1 -2 0
313 Eupen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
314 Liège 1 0 0 1 -2 0
315 Ixelles 1 0 0 1 -2 0
316 Herselt 1 0 0 1 -2 0
317 Genker 1 0 0 1 -2 0
318 Houthulst 1 0 0 1 -2 0
319 Lommel United 1 0 0 1 -2 0
320 Naastois 1 0 0 1 -2 0
321 RAC Saint-Mard 1 0 0 1 -2 0
322 Havré 1 0 0 1 -2 0
323 Fernelmont-Hemptinne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
324 Geluwe 1 0 0 1 -2 0
325 KMR Biesen II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
326 Elsautoise 1 0 0 1 -3 0
327 Zwaluwen Olmen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
328 Oreye Union 1 0 0 1 -3 0
329 Seraing Athlétique 1 0 0 1 -3 0
330 Sint-Niklaas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
331 Nismes 1 0 0 1 -3 0
332 KFC Zammel 1 0 0 1 -3 0
333 RAEC Mons II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
334 Herkol 1 0 0 1 -3 0
335 Weerstand Koersel 1 0 0 1 -3 0
336 Eendracht Zoersel 1 0 0 1 -3 0
337 Halvenweg Zonhoven 1 0 0 1 -3 0
338 Morlanwelz 1 0 0 1 -4 0
339 FC Vilvoorde 1 0 0 1 -4 0
340 AEDEC Hyon 1 0 0 1 -4 0
341 Jumet 1 0 0 1 -4 0
342 Mortsel 1 0 0 1 -4 0
343 Voorwaarts Gijzel 1 0 0 1 -4 0
344 NSeth Berchem 1 0 0 1 -4 0
345 Newcastle United U21 1 0 0 1 -5 0
346 Etterbeek 1 0 0 1 -5 0
347 Vaux-Noville 1 0 0 1 -5 0
348 Zeveren Sportief 1 0 0 1 -6 0
349 SSD Opoeteren 1 0 0 1 -6 0
350 Union Namur 2 0 0 2 -7 0
351 Binkom 1 0 0 1 -7 0
352 Excelsior Mariakerke 1 0 0 1 -8 0
353 Eendracht Zele 1 0 0 1 -8 0
354 Eendracht Houthalen 1 0 0 1 -14 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Jun -23 St. Gilloise – Club Brugge 1–3 6. May -23 Club Brugge – St. Gilloise 1–2 11. May -22 Club Brugge – St. Gilloise 1–0 8. May -22 St. Gilloise – Club Brugge 0–2

Match report

Club Brugge St. Gilloise
1–0 A. Skov Olsen ⚽
Ferran Jutglà
10′
B. Mechele 🟨
30′
31′
🟨 L. Lapoussin
J. Spileers 🟨
36′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Ferran Jutglà ⚽
A. Skov Olsen
46′
57′
🔁 M. Rasmussen
↦ N. Sadiki
58′
🔁 C. Terho
↦ L. Lapoussin
58′
🔁 K. Machida
↦ A. Castro-Montes
67′
🟨 M. Amoura
A. Skov Olsen 🟨
67′
75′
🔁 D. Eckert Ayensa
↦ G. Nilsson
D. Odoi 🟨
78′
M. Skóraś 🔁
↦ A. Skov Olsen
82′
S. Homma 🔁
↦ Ferran Jutglà
89′
92′
⚽ K. Machida 2–1
93′
🟨 C. Burgess
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Club Brugge

22 S. Mignolet
6 D. Odoi
44 B. Mechele
58 J. Spileers
14 B. Meijer
20 H. Vanaken
39 É. Balanta
27 C. Nielsen
7 A. Skov Olsen
9 Ferran Jutglà
99 Thiago
Bench (7)
8 M. Skóraś
62 S. Homma
29 N. Jackers
66 B. Yameogo
11 Victor Barberá
28 D. Boyata
64 K. Sabbe

Coach: R. Deila

St. Gilloise

49 A. Moris
16 C. Burgess
5 K. Mac Allister
26 R. Sykes
27 N. Sadiki
21 A. Castro-Montes
10 L. Lapoussin
23 Cameron Puertas
24 C. Vanhoutte
29 G. Nilsson
47 M. Amoura
Bench (7)
4 M. Rasmussen
17 C. Terho
28 K. Machida
9 D. Eckert Ayensa
7 E. Kabangu
35 N. Huygevelde
12 H. Lindner

Coach: A. Blessin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Van Driessche · 123 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.