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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Hafezi
Start
S T S U T
4–3
Full-time
Stabaek
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Start Stabaek
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,5
5,5
Scored
1,5
2,7
Conceded
2,0
2,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 12/11 matches
Win Ø 31%
17%
45%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
58%
82%
Both score Ø 74%
75%
73%
Average goals
3,0
4,5
Scored
1,1
2,5
Conceded
1,9
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Start 14. · Stabaek 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kongsvinger 11 7 3 1 +7 24
2 Valerenga 12 7 2 3 +10 23
3 Egersund 12 6 4 2 +6 22
4 Bryne 12 7 0 5 +3 21
5 Moss 12 6 2 4 -2 20
6 Stabaek 11 5 4 2 +7 19
7 Lyn 11 4 5 2 +9 17
8 Sogndal 12 4 5 3 +6 17
9 Raufoss 11 4 3 4 +0 15
10 Levanger 11 2 6 3 +1 12
11 Ranheim 12 2 5 5 -2 11
12 Mjondalen 12 2 5 5 -4 11
13 Asane 12 2 4 6 -9 10
14 Start 12 2 4 6 -10 10
15 Aalesund 12 2 3 7 -10 9
16 Sandnes ULF 11 2 3 6 -12 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Start Stabaek
9′
🔁 J. Nysveen
↦ O. Veum
1–0 M. Grundetjern
9′
12′
N. Walstad 1–1
Half-time 2–1
2–1 T. Strannegård
46′
3–1 N. Jenssen
48′
N. Jensen 🟨
52′
E. Schulze 🟨
55′
4–1 M. Nordal
57′
K. Wallius 🔁
↦ M. Nordal
64′
64′
🔁 C. Hegardt
↦ T. Roberts
64′
🔁 W. Wendt
↦ A. Andresen
66′
W. Wendt 4–2
K. Hoven 🔁
↦ J. Gregersen
77′
F. Østigård Ness 🔁
↦ D. Dasjajev
77′
79′
🔁 H. Geelmuyden
↦ S. Olderheim
79′
🔁 A. Victorio
↦ O. Spiten-Nysæter
82′
A. Victorio 4–3
F. O. Ness 🟨
94′
F. Pålerud 🔁
↦ K. Wallius
96′
T. Strannegard 🟨
97′
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Start

1 J. Torkildsen
5 N. Jenssen
25 J. Gregersen
19 D. Dasjajev
4 S. Hansen
11 E. Schulze
8 M. Grundetjern
6 K. Makosso
21 S. Sjøkvist
16 T. Strannegård
15 M. Nordal
Bench (9)
14 K. Wallius
9 K. Hoven
30 F. Østigård Ness
2 F. Pålerud
3 A. Ujkani
12 H. Seierstad Johnsen
17 S. Richardsen
18 J. Seim
28 D. Lunde

Coach: A. Karadas

Stabaek

1 S. Rossbach
4 N. Næss
15 O. Veum
3 J. Øya
11 N. Walstad
6 M. Christensen
14 T. Roberts
20 A. Andresen
7 R. Vinge
17 S. Olderheim
21 O. Spiten-Nysæter
Bench (9)
26 J. Nysveen
8 C. Hegardt
27 W. Wendt
10 H. Geelmuyden
32 A. Victorio
23 M. Ulla
24 K. Kostadinov
28 B. Tobiassen
29 K. Ekorness

Coach: B. Bradley

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.