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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: J Haugen
Aalesund
T U T T T
4–1
Full-time
Asane
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Asane
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
0,3
1,0
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-1,0
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 9/8 matches
Win Ø 12%
11%
13%
Points per game
0,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
44%
63%
Both score Ø 66%
56%
75%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
2,1
1,9
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalesund 16. · Asane 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Valerenga 10 5 2 3 +4 17
2 Kongsvinger 8 5 2 1 +3 17
3 Sogndal 9 4 4 1 +8 16
4 Egersund 8 4 3 1 +5 15
5 Bryne 9 5 0 4 +3 15
6 Moss 9 4 2 3 +0 14
7 Lyn 8 3 4 1 +7 13
8 Stabaek 8 3 4 1 +5 13
9 Levanger 10 2 5 3 +1 11
10 Ranheim 9 2 4 3 +1 10
11 Mjondalen 8 2 3 3 -1 9
12 Raufoss 9 2 3 4 -2 9
13 Sandnes ULF 9 2 3 4 -9 9
14 Asane 8 1 4 3 -5 7
15 Start 9 1 3 5 -8 6
16 Aalesund 9 1 2 6 -12 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Asane
1–0 I. Atanga
28′
2–0 J. Kitolano
35′
40′
🟨 K. Barmen
44′
🟨 S. Strand
Half-time 2–0
63′
🔁 S. Nygård
↦ E. Iversen
M. Diop 🔁
↦ E. Kolve
70′
72′
🔁 J. Berisha
↦ K. Larsen
74′
🟨 O. Kallevag
3–0 Cláudio Braga
79′
4–0 M. Diop
82′
S. Berntsen 🔁
↦ S. Kilen
83′
83′
🔁 K. Haga
↦ S. Skålevik
83′
🔁 E. Bangoura
↦ O. Kolskogen
83′
🔁 T. Lotsberg
↦ O. Kallevåg
S. Holte 🔁
↦ M. Diop
89′
J. Norvik 🔁
↦ Cláudio Braga
89′
91′
T. Lotsberg 4–1
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Aalesund

1 S. Grytebust
5 T. Grøgaard
25 J. Kitolano
21 A. Diop
7 K. Nessø
6 H. Hammer
11 D. Jóhannsson
28 E. Kolve
15 S. Kilen
19 I. Atanga
10 Cláudio Braga
Bench (6)
27 M. Diop
35 S. Berntsen
33 S. Holte
36 J. Norvik
18 M. Ramsland
26 T. Larsen

Coach: C. Johnsen

Asane

1 S. Lillevik
3 E. Steen
4 O. Kolskogen
22 D. Møller Wolfe
10 K. Barmen
19 K. Larsen
16 D. Fredriksen
5 E. Iversen
15 S. Eng Strand
18 O. Kallevåg
11 S. Skålevik
Bench (6)
20 S. Nygård
21 J. Berisha
14 K. Haga
25 E. Bangoura
27 T. Lotsberg
12 O. Madsen

Coach: M. Røssland

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.