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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Hafezi
Moss
U U S S S
1–0
Full-time
Aalesund
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moss Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,0
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 35%
50%
20%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
80%
50%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
3,5
3,1
Scored
1,8
1,1
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Moss 5. · Aalesund 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kongsvinger 9 6 2 1 +5 20
2 Egersund 9 5 3 1 +6 18
3 Bryne 10 6 0 4 +4 18
4 Valerenga 10 5 2 3 +4 17
5 Moss 10 5 2 3 +1 17
6 Sogndal 10 4 4 2 +7 16
7 Lyn 10 3 5 2 +6 14
8 Stabaek 9 3 4 2 +4 13
9 Raufoss 10 3 3 4 -1 12
10 Levanger 10 2 5 3 +1 11
11 Ranheim 10 2 4 4 +0 10
12 Mjondalen 10 2 4 4 -2 10
13 Start 10 2 3 5 -7 9
14 Sandnes ULF 10 2 3 5 -11 9
15 Aalesund 10 2 2 6 -9 8
16 Asane 9 1 4 4 -8 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Moss Aalesund
Half-time 0–0
56′
🟨 D. Johannsson
N. Alexandersson 🔁
↦ A. Håpnes
63′
I. Hoffmann 🟨
64′
K. Harrison 🟨
65′
N. Alexandersson 🟨
72′
E. Björgólfs­son 🔁
↦ O. Kjeilen Stavdal
75′
1–0 S. Pedersen
77′
78′
🔁 N. Solskjær
↦ I. Atanga
83′
🔁 S. Berntsen
↦ S. Holte
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Moss

1 M. Ranmark
3 K. Strande
21 I. Hoffmann
31 K. Harrison
5 I. Kukleci
2 M. Andresen
6 A. Håpnes
10 B. Hegland
16 O. Kjeilen Stavdal
9 S. Pedersen
11 T. Jakobsen
Bench (9)
23 N. Alexandersson
19 E. Björgólfs­son
4 H. Gjesdal
8 V. Hellestø
12 E. Myrhaug Bachke
14 A. Lajqi
15 A. Hussein
24 João Barros
26 B. Isufi

Coach: T. Myhre

Aalesund

1 S. Grytebust
25 J. Kitolano
33 S. Holte
7 K. Nessø
6 H. Hammer
11 D. Jóhannsson
28 E. Kolve
15 S. Kilen
18 M. Ramsland
19 I. Atanga
10 Cláudio Braga
Bench (7)
17 N. Solskjær
35 S. Berntsen
26 T. Larsen
34 T. Gulbrandsen
36 J. Norvik
39 K. Lonebu
32 S. Senior-Hårvik

Coach: C. Johnsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.