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KNVB Beker

Referee: I Oostrom

ASWH

T S S S

0–1

Full-time

Heerenveen

S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ASWH Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 63%

75%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — KNVB Beker · 3/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

2,3

5,0

Scored

2,0

3,0

Conceded

0,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ASWH 3. · Heerenveen 37. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sparta Nijkerk	3	3	0	0	+12	9
2	Noordwijk	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	ASWH	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Eemdijk	3	3	0	0	+4	9
5	Waalwijk	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Barendrecht	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Quick Boys	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	AFC Amsterdam	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Ijsselmeervogels	3	2	0	1	+3	6
10	Excelsior	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	Winterswijk	3	2	0	1	+3	6
12	Rijnsburgse Boys	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Blauw Geel	3	2	0	1	+2	6
14	Capelle	3	2	0	1	+1	6
15	OJC Rosmalen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
16	SC Genemuiden	3	2	0	1	+1	6
17	Quick '20	3	2	0	1	+0	6
18	Hercules	3	2	0	1	-2	6
19	Rijnvogels	3	2	0	1	-2	6
20	Dovo	3	2	0	1	-2	6
21	Koninklijke HFC	3	2	0	1	-5	6
22	FC Lisse	3	1	1	1	+0	4
23	Kolping Boys	3	1	1	1	-3	4
24	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+8	3
25	FC Eindhoven	2	1	0	1	+5	3
26	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+5	3
27	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+4	3
28	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
29	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+3	3
30	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+3	3
31	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
32	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+2	3
33	Katwijk	2	1	0	1	+1	3
34	For Sittard	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Juliana '31	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Twente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	ADO '20	2	1	0	1	+1	3
42	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	RKAVV	2	1	0	1	+1	3
44	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Cambuur	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	HV & CV Quick	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Poortugaal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	MVV	2	1	0	1	+0	3
50	Vvsb	2	1	0	1	+0	3
51	Ajax Amateurs	2	1	0	1	+0	3
52	UDI '19	2	1	0	1	+0	3
53	Achilles Veen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
54	Hoek	2	1	0	1	-1	3
55	TEC	2	1	0	1	-2	3
56	HBC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Smitshoek	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Elinkwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	EVV	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Olde Veste '54	2	0	1	1	-1	1
61	Zwaluw VFC	2	0	1	1	-3	1
62	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	SDC Putten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	DEM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Spakenburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	URK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	GOES	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	De Bilt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Geldrop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	SVBO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	DAW Schaijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	Forum Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	FC 's-Gravenzande	1	0	0	1	-2	0
94	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-2	0
95	ACV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
96	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-3	0
97	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-3	0
98	De Treffers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
99	UNA	1	0	0	1	-3	0
100	Heerjansdam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
101	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	0
102	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	0
103	GVVV Veenendaal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
104	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
105	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-4	0
106	ROHDA Raalte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
107	Laar	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sparta Nijkerk	3	3	0	0	+12	9
2	Waalwijk	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Barendrecht	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Quick Boys	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	AFC Amsterdam	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	ASWH	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Noordwijk	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Rijnsburgse Boys	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+8	3
10	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+2	3
13	TEC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Capelle	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	ADO '20	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Juliana '31	2	1	0	1	+1	3
17	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	OJC Rosmalen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Hoek	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Eemdijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Achilles Veen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Winterswijk	2	1	0	1	+1	3
24	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	HV & CV Quick	2	1	0	1	+0	3
26	Poortugaal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
27	MVV	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	SC Genemuiden	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	Dovo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
30	Hercules	2	1	0	1	-4	3
31	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-5	3
32	HBC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Smitshoek	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Elinkwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	EVV	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Katwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	DEM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Ajax Amateurs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	RKAVV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Spakenburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	GOES	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	De Bilt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Quick '20	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	FC 's-Gravenzande	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	ACV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	De Treffers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Heerjansdam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Kolping Boys	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
65	ROHDA Raalte	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ijsselmeervogels	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Eemdijk	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Blauw Geel	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Quick '20	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Kolping Boys	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	FC Lisse	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+7	3
8	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Noordwijk	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+3	3
13	Rijnvogels	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Winterswijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	ASWH	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	RKAVV	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	For Sittard	2	1	0	1	+1	3
21	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Twente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Vvsb	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Ajax Amateurs	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	SC Genemuiden	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Dovo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	UDI '19	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Cambuur	2	1	0	1	+0	3
33	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	OJC Rosmalen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	Capelle	2	1	0	1	-1	3
36	Koninklijke HFC	2	1	0	1	-6	3
37	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Olde Veste '54	2	0	1	1	-1	1
39	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	SDC Putten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	URK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Achilles Veen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Geldrop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	SVBO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	DAW Schaijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Forum Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	UNA	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	GVVV Veenendaal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	TEC	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	Laar	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.