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Eredivisie
Referee: J van der Laan
3–1
Full-time
De Graafschap
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Eindhoven De Graafschap
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
2,0
4,2
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,8
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

38% Possession 62%
9 Shots 22
7 Shots on target 9
1 Blocked shots 7
8 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 33 26 4 3 +79 82
2 PSV Eindhoven 33 25 3 5 +43 78
3 Feyenoord 33 22 5 6 +43 71
4 Twente 33 19 8 6 +17 65
5 AZ Alkmaar 29 15 6 8 +17 51
6 Utrecht 31 12 10 9 +9 46
7 Vitesse 29 14 3 12 -8 45
8 Heerenveen 31 10 8 13 -12 38
9 Nijmegen 33 10 8 15 -13 38
10 Go Ahead Eagles 33 10 6 17 -12 36
11 Groningen 33 9 9 15 -13 36
12 Cambuur 33 10 6 17 -18 36
13 Waalwijk 33 8 11 14 -13 35
14 Heracles 33 9 7 17 -14 34
15 Sparta Rotterdam 33 7 11 15 -20 32
16 For Sittard 33 9 5 19 -32 32
17 Willem II 33 8 6 19 -28 30
18 Zwolle 33 7 6 20 -25 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Eindhoven De Graafschap
1–0 J. Ogenia
M. Verreth
10′
16′
M. Kaandorp 1–1
J. Opoku
2–1 C. Brym
C. Seedorf
22′
3–1 J. Sleegers
M. Verreth
24′
Charles-Andreas Brym 🟨
30′
30′
🟨 Jasper Van Heertum
31′
🟨 Julian Lelieveld
Half-time 3–1
61′
🔁 E. Lieftink
↦ M. Kaandorp
61′
🔁 D. Gravenberch
↦ S. Hendriks
69′
🔁 B. Önal
↦ J. van Heertum
74′
🟨 Giovanni Korte
P. Bogaers 🔁
↦ J. Ogenia
77′
J. Janssen 🔁
↦ C. Brym
78′
K. Oostenbrink 🔁
↦ M. Verreth
83′
83′
🔁 J. Konings
↦ C. Neghli
83′
🔁 P. Brittijn
↦ J. Schuurman
D. de Meij 🔁
↦ J. Sleegers
91′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

FC Eindhoven

3-4-3
1 N. Bertrams G
3 M. Amevor D
33 C. Seedorf D
4 M. Peijnenburg D
20 V. Vermeulen M
2 J. Ogenia M
8 M. Verreth M
17 B. De Keersmaecker M
10 J. Sleegers F
9 J. van der Sande F
19 C. Brym F
Bench (10)
5 P. Bogaers
28 J. Janssen
23 K. Oostenbrink
25 D. de Meij
31 T. Odunze
78 B. Rácz
11 M. van Rosmalen
6 J. van Son
21 C. Faber
12 J. Borgmans

Coach: R. Penders

De Graafschap

4-1-4-1
1 H. Jurjus G
21 Jeffry Fortes D
4 T. van de Pavert D
3 J. van Heertum D
2 J. Lelieveld D
18 J. Opoku M
8 J. Schuurman M
14 C. Neghli M
11 G. Korte M
20 S. Hendriks F
24 M. Kaandorp M
Bench (12)
6 E. Lieftink
9 D. Gravenberch
33 B. Önal
25 J. Konings
23 P. Brittijn
19 R. Dekker
48 T. Wieggers
32 G. Vaags
22 D. Haen
10 D. Verbeek
17 M. Hilderink
5 R. Baas

Coach: J. Vreman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J van der Laan · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.