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Coupe de France

Referee: T Vincent

Boulay

0–3

Full-time

Thionville Lusitanos

S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	SA Mérignac	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Caen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Bastia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Istres	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Mâcon	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Bourgoin-Jallieu	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Saint-Denis	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Boulogne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	St-Philbert Gd Lieu	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Metz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Clermont	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Colmar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Olympique d'Alès	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Nancy	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Dijon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Saint-Colomban Locminé	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Versailles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Pau FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Troyes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Thaon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Concarneau	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Ginglin Cesson	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Valenciennes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Chasselay MDA	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Angoulême	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Gallia Lucciana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Drancy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Le Mans	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	RC Saint Joseph	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	La Roche sur Yon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Beauvais	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Rumilly Vallières	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Espaly-Saint-Marcel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Cluses-Scionzier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Colomiers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Vierzon FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Dragon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Avranches	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Cesson	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	TA Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Quevilly Rouen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Fleury 91	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Amiens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Agde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Romorantin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Raon l'Etape	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Biesheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Corte	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Linas-Montlhery	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Saint-Pierre Milizac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Dinan Léhon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Montagnarde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Tours	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Saint-Lô Manche	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Dives-Cabourg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Vitré	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Laval	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Stade Béthunois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Dunkerque	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Crépy-en-Valois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Diables Noirs	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Rodez	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	OCPAM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Pays de Cassel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Vannes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Ajaccio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Samaritaine	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Vendée Fontenay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Chantilly	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Jura Dolois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Biars-Bretenoux	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Marboz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Stade Beaucairois	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Epinal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Grandvillars	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Sablé	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Gueugnon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Canet Roussillon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Bayonne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Foron	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Sarre Union	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Saumur	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	Alençon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	Ruffiac Malestroit	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	Arras	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	Saint-Pierroise	1	0	0	1	-3	0
94	Houilles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
95	Thouars	1	0	0	1	-3	0
96	FCSR Obernai	1	0	0	1	-3	0
97	Feytiat	1	0	0	1	-3	0
98	Nousseviller	1	0	0	1	-3	0
99	C' Chartres	1	0	0	1	-4	0
100	Freyming	1	0	0	1	-4	0
101	Cannet Rocheville	1	0	0	1	-4	0
102	Guéreins Genouilleux	1	0	0	1	-4	0
103	St-Just St-Rambert	1	0	0	1	-4	0
104	Vesoul	1	0	0	1	-5	0
105	Haubourdin	1	0	0	1	-6	0
106	St-Philbert Réorthe JA	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Istres	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	St-Philbert Gd Lieu	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Olympique d'Alès	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Saint-Colomban Locminé	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Ginglin Cesson	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Angoulême	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Gallia Lucciana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Drancy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	RC Saint Joseph	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Beauvais	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Rumilly Vallières	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Espaly-Saint-Marcel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Colomiers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Dragon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Cesson	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Fleury 91	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Agde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Raon l'Etape	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Corte	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Saint-Pierre Milizac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Montagnarde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Saint-Lô Manche	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Vitré	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Stade Béthunois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Crépy-en-Valois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Vannes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Vendée Fontenay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Marboz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Epinal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Grandvillars	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Gueugnon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Canet Roussillon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Bayonne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Foron	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Sarre Union	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Saumur	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Ruffiac Malestroit	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Arras	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Saint-Pierroise	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Houilles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	FCSR Obernai	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Feytiat	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	Nousseviller	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	C' Chartres	1	0	0	1	-4	0
48	Freyming	1	0	0	1	-4	0
49	Guéreins Genouilleux	1	0	0	1	-4	0
50	St-Just St-Rambert	1	0	0	1	-4	0
51	Vesoul	1	0	0	1	-5	0
52	Haubourdin	1	0	0	1	-6	0
53	St-Philbert Réorthe JA	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	SA Mérignac	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Caen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Bastia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Mâcon	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Bourgoin-Jallieu	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Saint-Denis	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Boulogne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Metz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Clermont	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Colmar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Nancy	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Dijon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Versailles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Pau FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Troyes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Thaon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Concarneau	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Valenciennes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Chasselay MDA	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Le Mans	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	La Roche sur Yon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Cluses-Scionzier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Vierzon FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Avranches	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	TA Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Quevilly Rouen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Amiens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Romorantin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Biesheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Linas-Montlhery	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Dinan Léhon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Tours	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Dives-Cabourg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Laval	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Dunkerque	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Diables Noirs	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Rodez	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	OCPAM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Pays de Cassel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Ajaccio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Samaritaine	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Chantilly	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Jura Dolois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Biars-Bretenoux	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Stade Beaucairois	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Sablé	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Alençon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Thouars	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Cannet Rocheville	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Boulay Thionville Lusitanos

2′

⚽ M. Groune 0–1

5′

⚽ M. Groune 0–2

Half-time 0–2

H. Bourchouk 🔁

↦ A. Kontchou

46′

58′

🔁 V. Poinsignon

↦ V. Collet

66′

⚽ J. Moustaid 0–3

L. Rinoldo 🔁

↦ F. Mehada

70′

N. Hadji 🔁

↦ B. Camara

80′

Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Boulay

A. Kontchou

B. Camara

V. Kraska

T. Zaid

F. Mehada

M. Sollami

J. Arend

T. Di Fini

S. Louadj

T. Di Rosa

T. Hector

Bench (7)

H. Bourchouk

L. Rinoldo

N. Hadji

B. Cascino

L. Berveiller

M. Bianchi

Y. Filant

Coach: C. Walter

Thionville Lusitanos

A. Zimmermann

D. Luvualu

S. Bouzar

V. Collet

M. Rampont-d'Audremont

L. Tela

M. Bourgeois

J. Masson

J. Moustaid

M. Groune

I. Baradji

Bench (7)

V. Poinsignon

I. Sylla

J. Lauratet

J. Vitoux

L. Hoël

M. Botulama

Y. Si Mohammed

Coach: J. François

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Boulay

Thionville Lusitanos

Odds comparison

Recent matches