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Coppa Italia
Referee: A Calzavara
Cagliari
S U T S S
1–0
Full-time
Arezzo
S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Arezzo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
15 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
16 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Cagliari Arezzo
16′
🟨 Samuele Righetti
1–0 A. Deiola ⚽
23′
Half-time 1–0
G. Borrelli 🔁
↦ P. Mendy
46′
52′
🔁 M. Coppolaro
↦ M. Gilli
D. Maldini 🔁
↦ Y. Trepy
54′
R. Kofler 🔁
↦ A. Deiola
54′
60′
🔁 A. Cagnano
↦ S. Righetti
60′
🔁 G. Iaccarino
↦ L. Chierico
65′
ℹ️ Mattia Sala
VAR: Penalty cancelled
66′
🟨 Gennaro Iaccarino
M. Felici 🔁
↦ J. Fazzini
67′
74′
🔁 S. M. Eklu
↦ M. Sala
74′
🔁 G. Cipriani
↦ A. Arena
M. Prati 🔁
↦ H. Winks
80′
Matteo Prati 🟨
84′
Daniel Maldini 🟨
98′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Cagliari

4-2-3-1
1 E. Caprile G
2 J. Pedro D
14 A. Deiola D
15 J. Rodriguez D
33 A. Obert D
4 A. Romano M
6 H. Winks M
8 M. Adopo M
19 Y. Trepy M
10 J. Fazzini M
31 P. Mendy F
Bench (15)
23 B. Radunovic
12 A. Sherri
28 G. Zappa
24 G. Aurelio
21 N. Cavuoti
16 M. Prati
32 I. Sulev
27 J. Liteta
36 N. Grandu
30 A. Akarakiri
70 D. Maldini
17 M. Felici
22 R. Kofler
18 K. Mutandwa
29 G. Borrelli

Coach: Fabio Pisacane

Arezzo

4-3-3
14 A. Nunziante G
6 A. Renzi D
13 M. Gilli D
5 J. Illanes D
37 S. Righetti D
16 M. Sala M
24 L. Chierico M
17 A. Ionita M
30 A. Arena F
11 M. Varela Djamanca F
21 C. Tavernelli F
Bench (13)
90 A. Seculin
22 F. Serban
19 M. Chiosa
4 M. Coppolaro
32 A. Cagnano
2 M. Mena
23 M. Viviani
78 G. Iaccarino
8 S. M. Eklu
7 K. Leone
10 E. Pattarello
72 M. Cortesi
29 G. Cipriani

Coach: Cristian Bucchi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Calzavara · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.