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Copa del Rey

Referee: I Diaz

Cartagena

T S T T S

1–2

Full-time

Valencia

S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cartagena Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

5,0

Scored

1,0

5,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+5,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,11 xG 4,12

38% Possession 62%

16 Shots 30

6 Shots on target 10

3 Blocked shots 7

8 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 9

4 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 20

4 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Cartagena 50. · Valencia 33. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+12	–	6
2	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+10	–	6
3	Betis	2	2	0	0	+9	–	6
4	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+7	–	6
5	Vallecano	2	2	0	0	+6	-0.4	6
6	La Coruna	2	2	0	0	+6	–	6
7	Eibar	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
8	Santander	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
9	Elche	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
10	Huesca	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
11	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
12	Palma del Rio	3	2	0	1	+4	–	6
13	Cultural Leonesa	2	2	0	0	+4	–	6
14	Sant Just	3	2	0	1	+4	–	6
15	CF Talavera	2	2	0	0	+4	–	6
16	Albacete	2	2	0	0	+4	–	6
17	Ourense CF	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
18	Mallorca	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
19	Eldense	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
20	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
21	Atlético Baleares	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.5	6
22	Levante	2	2	0	0	+2	–	6
23	Guadalajara	2	2	0	0	+2	–	6
24	CD Sant Jordi	3	2	0	1	-2	–	6
25	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+6	–	4
26	Puerto de Vega	3	1	1	1	+2	–	4
27	Real Murcia	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
28	Antoniano	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
29	Maracena	3	1	1	1	-3	–	4
30	CD Yuncos	3	1	1	1	-3	–	4
31	Deportivo Getxo	3	1	1	1	-6	–	4
32	Inter de Valdemoro	3	1	1	1	-9	–	4
33	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+5	–	3
34	Granada	1	1	0	0	+4	–	3
35	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+4	–	3
36	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
37	Andorra	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
38	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
39	Numancia	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
40	Extremadura 1924	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
41	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
42	Celta	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
43	Cadiz	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
44	Ponferradina	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
45	Malaga	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
46	Almeria	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
47	Ceuta	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
48	Sant Andreu	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
49	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
50	Cartagena	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
51	SD Negreira	3	1	0	2	+0	–	3
52	Navalcarnero	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
53	Girona	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
54	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.5	3
55	Manises	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
56	Real Ávila	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.4	3
57	Cieza	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
58	Torrent	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
59	Sabadell	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
60	Portugalete	2	1	0	1	-2	–	3
61	Textil Escudo	2	1	0	1	-3	–	3
62	Los Garres	3	1	0	2	-4	–	3
63	Antequera	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
64	Ibiza	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
65	Atlético Astorga	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
66	Tarazona	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
67	UD Ourense	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
68	Europa Fc	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
69	Langreo	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
70	Quintanar del Rey	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
71	Betis Valladolid	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
72	Ebro	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
73	Universitario FC	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
74	Mirandes	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
75	Sporting Ceuta	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
76	Reddis	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
77	Ferrol	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
78	Campanario	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
79	Pontevedra	2	0	1	1	-3	–	1
80	Alberite	2	0	1	1	-4	–	1
81	Orihuela	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
82	Constància	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
83	Mérida AD	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
84	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
85	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
86	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
87	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
88	Atlètic Lleida	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
89	Castellon	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
90	Real Avilés	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
91	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
92	Caudal	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
93	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
94	Puente Genil	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
95	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
96	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
97	UD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
98	Ucam Murcia	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
99	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
100	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
101	Estepona	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
102	Tropezón	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
103	Mutilvera	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
104	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
105	Gimnastic	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
106	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
107	La Unión Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
108	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
109	Azuaga	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
110	Lourdes	2	0	0	2	-3	–	0
111	Toledo	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
112	Arenas Getxo	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
113	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
114	San Fernando CD	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
115	Valle Egüés	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
116	Roda	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
117	Sámano	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
118	SD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
119	RSD Alcalá	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
120	Atletico Calatayud	2	0	0	2	-6	–	0
121	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-6	–	0
122	Atlético Melilla	2	0	0	2	-10	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ourense CF	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
2	Atlético Baleares	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.5	6
3	Guadalajara	2	2	0	0	+2	–	6
4	Real Murcia	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
5	Antoniano	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
6	Numancia	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
7	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
8	Puerto de Vega	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
9	Extremadura 1924	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
10	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
11	SD Negreira	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
12	Sant Just	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
13	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
14	CF Talavera	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
15	Sant Andreu	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
16	Textil Escudo	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
17	Navalcarnero	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
18	Real Ávila	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.4	3
19	Cieza	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
20	Palma del Rio	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
21	Torrent	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
22	Los Garres	2	1	0	1	-2	–	3
23	Portugalete	2	1	0	1	-2	–	3
24	CD Yuncos	2	1	0	1	-3	–	3
25	Maracena	2	1	0	1	-3	–	3
26	CD Sant Jordi	2	1	0	1	-4	–	3
27	Atlético Astorga	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
28	Alberite	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
29	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
30	UD Ourense	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
31	Langreo	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
32	Campanario	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
33	Quintanar del Rey	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
34	Ebro	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
35	Reddis	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
36	Deportivo Getxo	2	0	1	1	-7	–	1
37	Inter de Valdemoro	2	0	1	1	-11	–	1
38	Orihuela	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
39	Constància	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
40	Leganes	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
41	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
42	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
43	Betis Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
44	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
45	Atlètic Lleida	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
46	Caudal	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
47	Puente Genil	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
48	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
49	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
50	UD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
51	Ucam Murcia	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
52	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
53	Estepona	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
54	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
55	Tropezón	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
56	Mutilvera	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
57	Mirandes	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
58	Sabadell	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
59	Ferrol	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
60	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
61	La Unión Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
62	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
63	Azuaga	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
64	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
65	Toledo	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
66	Pontevedra	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
67	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
68	San Fernando CD	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
69	Valle Egüés	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
70	Roda	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
71	Sámano	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
72	SD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
73	RSD Alcalá	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
74	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	–	0
75	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-6	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+12	–	6
2	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+10	–	6
3	Betis	2	2	0	0	+9	–	6
4	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+7	–	6
5	Vallecano	2	2	0	0	+6	-0.4	6
6	La Coruna	2	2	0	0	+6	–	6
7	Eibar	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
8	Santander	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
9	Elche	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
10	Huesca	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
11	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
12	Albacete	2	2	0	0	+4	–	6
13	Mallorca	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
14	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
15	Levante	2	2	0	0	+2	–	6
16	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+6	–	4
17	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+5	–	3
18	Palma del Rio	1	1	0	0	+5	–	3
19	Granada	1	1	0	0	+4	–	3
20	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+4	–	3
21	CF Talavera	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
22	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
23	Sant Just	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
24	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
25	Andorra	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
26	Inter de Valdemoro	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
27	Ponferradina	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
28	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
29	CD Sant Jordi	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
30	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
31	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
32	Celta	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
33	Cadiz	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
34	Malaga	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
35	Almeria	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
36	Ceuta	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
37	Sabadell	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
38	Deportivo Getxo	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
39	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
40	Cartagena	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
41	Girona	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
42	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.5	3
43	Antequera	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
44	Ibiza	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
45	Mirandes	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
46	Puerto de Vega	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
47	Maracena	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
48	Universitario FC	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
49	Tarazona	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
50	Pontevedra	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
51	Europa Fc	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
52	Ferrol	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
53	Betis Valladolid	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
54	CD Yuncos	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
55	Mérida AD	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
56	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
57	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
58	SD Negreira	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
59	Castellon	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
60	Real Avilés	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
61	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
62	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
63	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
64	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
65	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
66	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
67	Gimnastic	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
68	Los Garres	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
69	Manises	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
70	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
71	Campanario	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
72	Arenas Getxo	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
73	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
74	Alberite	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
75	Textil Escudo	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
76	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.