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Copa del Rey
Referee: A Quintero
1–0
Full-time
Espanol
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atlético Baleares Espanol
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,28 xG 0,76
37% Possession 63%
4 Shots 15
1 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
0 Corners 10
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Atlético Baleares 42. · Espanol 51.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Getafe 2 2 0 0 +12 6
2 Alaves 2 2 0 0 +10 6
3 Betis 2 2 0 0 +9 6
4 Osasuna 2 2 0 0 +7 6
5 Eibar 2 2 0 0 +5 6
6 Elche 2 2 0 0 +5 6
7 Huesca 2 2 0 0 +5 6
8 Sociedad 2 2 0 0 +5 6
9 Palma del Rio 3 2 0 1 +4 6
10 Cultural Leonesa 2 2 0 0 +4 6
11 Sant Just 3 2 0 1 +4 6
12 CF Talavera 2 2 0 0 +4 6
13 Ourense CF 2 2 0 0 +3 6
14 Mallorca 2 2 0 0 +3 6
15 Eldense 2 2 0 0 +3 6
16 Sp Gijon 2 2 0 0 +3 6
17 Levante 2 2 0 0 +2 6
18 Guadalajara 2 2 0 0 +2 6
19 CD Sant Jordi 3 2 0 1 -2 6
20 Villarreal 2 1 1 0 +6 4
21 Puerto de Vega 3 1 1 1 +2 4
22 Real Murcia 2 1 1 0 +1 4
23 Antoniano 2 1 1 0 +1 4
24 Maracena 3 1 1 1 -3 4
25 CD Yuncos 3 1 1 1 -3 4
26 Deportivo Getxo 3 1 1 1 -6 4
27 Inter de Valdemoro 3 1 1 1 -9 4
28 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +5 3
29 Valencia 1 1 0 0 +5 3
30 Granada 1 1 0 0 +4 3
31 La Coruna 1 1 0 0 +4 3
32 Santander 1 1 0 0 +4 3
33 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +4 3
34 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +3 3
35 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
36 Albacete 1 1 0 0 +3 3
37 Andorra 2 1 0 1 +2 3
38 Numancia 2 1 0 1 +2 3
39 Ponferradina 1 1 0 0 +2 3
40 Extremadura 1924 1 1 0 0 +2 3
41 Zaragoza 1 1 0 0 +2 3
42 Atlético Baleares 1 1 0 0 +2 3
43 Celta 1 1 0 0 +2 3
44 Cadiz 2 1 0 1 +1 3
45 Malaga 2 1 0 1 +1 3
46 Almeria 2 1 0 1 +1 3
47 Ceuta 2 1 0 1 +1 3
48 Sabadell 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 Sant Andreu 1 1 0 0 +1 3
50 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +1 3
51 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +1 3
52 Real Ávila 1 1 0 0 +1 3
53 Cartagena 1 1 0 0 +1 3
54 SD Negreira 3 1 0 2 +0 3
55 Navalcarnero 2 1 0 1 +0 3
56 Girona 2 1 0 1 +0 3
57 Manises 2 1 0 1 +0 3
58 Cieza 2 1 0 1 +0 3
59 Torrent 2 1 0 1 -1 3
60 Portugalete 2 1 0 1 -2 3
61 Textil Escudo 2 1 0 1 -3 3
62 Los Garres 3 1 0 2 -4 3
63 Antequera 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Ibiza 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Atlético Astorga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Tarazona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 UD Ourense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Europa Fc 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Langreo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Quintanar del Rey 2 0 1 1 -1 1
71 Betis Valladolid 2 0 1 1 -1 1
72 Ebro 2 0 1 1 -2 1
73 Universitario FC 2 0 1 1 -2 1
74 Mirandes 2 0 1 1 -2 1
75 Sporting Ceuta 2 0 1 1 -2 1
76 Reddis 2 0 1 1 -2 1
77 Ferrol 2 0 1 1 -2 1
78 Campanario 2 0 1 1 -2 1
79 Pontevedra 2 0 1 1 -3 1
80 Alberite 2 0 1 1 -4 1
81 Orihuela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Constància 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Mérida AD 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Atlético Tordesillas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Atlètic Lleida 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Castellon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Real Avilés 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Valladolid 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Caudal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Puente Genil 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Oviedo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
96 Náxara 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 UD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Ucam Murcia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Las Palmas 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Estepona 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Tropezón 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Mutilvera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Gimnastic 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Lorca Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 La Unión Atlético 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 Rayo Majadahonda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
109 Azuaga 1 0 0 1 -3 0
110 Lourdes 2 0 0 2 -3 0
111 Toledo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
112 Arenas Getxo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
113 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
114 San Fernando CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
115 Valle Egüés 1 0 0 1 -4 0
116 Roda 1 0 0 1 -4 0
117 Sámano 1 0 0 1 -4 0
118 SD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -4 0
119 RSD Alcalá 1 0 0 1 -4 0
120 Atletico Calatayud 2 0 0 2 -6 0
121 Ciudad de Lucena 1 0 0 1 -6 0
122 Atlético Melilla 2 0 0 2 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Atlético Baleares Espanol
40′
🟨 Charles Pickel
Half-time 1–0
1–0 J. Tovar
54′
62′
🔁 U. Gonzalez
↦ A. Roca
62′
🔁 R. Fernandez Jaen
↦ Jofre
I. Serrano 🔁
↦ V. Morillo
68′
J. Duran 🔁
↦ A. Bejarano
68′
72′
🔁 R. Terrats
↦ Exposito
73′
🔁 T. Dolan
↦ R. Sanchez
73′
🔁 J. Hernandez
↦ C. Pickel
M. Keita 🔁
↦ J. Tovar
79′
G. Ramis 🔁
↦ J. Cherta
79′
86′
🟨 Jose Salinas
C. Martinez 🔁
↦ Miguelito
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Atlético Baleares

5-3-2
13 Rivas G
24 A. Perez D
22 U. Taffertshofer D
17 G. Castell D
4 J. Pol D
14 V. Morillo D
11 Miguelito M
6 G. Bonet M
8 J. Cherta M
9 J. Tovar F
20 A. Bejarano F
Bench (11)
7 M. Keita
16 C. Martinez
2 G. Ramis
3 I. Serrano
19 M. Morillo
31 B. Fontanet
1 P. Garcia
28 D. Estrada
26 V. de la Torre
29 A. Catala
23 J. Duran

Coach: Luis Blanco

Espanol

4-4-2
1 A. Fortuno G
2 R. Sanchez D
15 M. Rubio D
38 C. Riedel D
12 J. Salinas D
17 Jofre M
18 C. Pickel M
8 Exposito M
16 L. Koleosho M
19 K. Garcia F
20 A. Roca F
Bench (11)
34 L. Serred
4 U. Gonzalez
6 L. Cabrera
9 R. Fernandez Jaen
10 P. Lozano
11 P. Milla
14 R. Terrats
23 O. El Hilali
24 T. Dolan
27 J. Hernandez
28 F. Gomez

Coach: Manolo Gonzalez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Quintero · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.