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League Cup

Referee: T Bramall

Charlton

S S U U T

0–0

Full-time

Brighton

T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charlton Brighton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,5

This season — League Cup · 3/2 matches

Win Ø 67%

33%

100%

Points per game

1,7

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

1,7

3,5

Scored

1,0

3,0

Conceded

0,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

23% Possession 77%

6 Shots 18

2 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 10

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Charlton 17. · Brighton 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolves	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Milton Keynes Dons	4	3	0	1	+2	9
3	Leicester	3	2	1	0	+6	7
4	Blackburn	3	2	1	0	+5	7
5	Sheffield Weds	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Lincoln	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Southampton	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Stevenage	3	2	1	0	+2	7
9	Derby	3	2	1	0	+2	7
10	Newcastle	3	2	1	0	+2	7
11	Brighton	2	2	0	0	+5	6
12	Nott'm Forest	2	2	0	0	+5	6
13	Bristol City	3	2	0	1	+3	6
14	Burnley	2	2	0	0	+3	6
15	Crawley Town	3	2	0	1	+1	6
16	Newport County	3	2	0	1	-1	6
17	Charlton	3	1	2	0	+1	5
18	Gillingham	4	1	2	1	+0	5
19	Exeter City	2	1	1	0	+7	4
20	Bournemouth	3	1	1	1	+2	4
21	Brentford	2	1	1	0	+2	4
22	Crystal Palace	2	1	1	0	+2	4
23	Stockport County	2	1	1	0	+1	4
24	Morecambe	3	1	1	1	-1	4
25	Preston	2	1	0	1	+2	3
26	Portsmouth	2	1	0	1	+2	3
27	Man United	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Man City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Aston Villa	2	1	0	1	+1	3
30	Bolton	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Grimsby	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	Leeds	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	Peterborough	2	1	0	1	+1	3
34	Walsall	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Bradford	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Shrewsbury	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Rotherham	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	West Brom	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Fleetwood Town	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Wycombe	2	1	0	1	-1	3
41	Barnsley	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	Rochdale	2	1	0	1	-1	3
43	Forest Green	2	1	0	1	-1	3
44	Colchester	2	1	0	1	-1	3
45	Everton	2	1	0	1	-2	3
46	Cambridge United	2	1	0	1	-2	3
47	Norwich	2	0	2	0	+0	2
48	Barrow	2	0	2	0	+0	2
49	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	West Ham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Accrington ST	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Blackpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Stoke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Tranmere	2	0	1	1	-1	1
58	Oxford	2	0	1	1	-2	1
59	Luton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Carlisle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Reading	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Mansfield Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Ipswich	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Sutton Utd	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Harrogate Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Wigan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Arsenal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Chelsea	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Watford	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Tottenham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Plymouth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Leyton Orient	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-3	0
86	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-3	0
87	Cardiff	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	Doncaster	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Salford City	1	0	0	1	-4	0
90	Hartlepool	1	0	0	1	-4	0
91	Crewe	1	0	0	1	-4	0
92	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolves	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Sheffield Weds	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Crawley Town	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Milton Keynes Dons	3	2	0	1	+0	6
5	Southampton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Stevenage	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Newcastle	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Man United	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Burnley	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Man City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Rochdale	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Bolton	2	1	0	1	+1	3
18	Grimsby	2	1	0	1	+1	3
19	Newport County	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Walsall	2	1	0	1	+1	3
21	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Derby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Bradford	2	1	0	1	+0	3
24	Shrewsbury	2	1	0	1	+0	3
25	Fleetwood Town	2	1	0	1	+0	3
26	Forest Green	2	1	0	1	-1	3
27	Cambridge United	2	1	0	1	-2	3
28	Norwich	2	0	2	0	+0	2
29	West Ham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Accrington ST	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Barrow	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Brentford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Charlton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Blackpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Morecambe	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Gillingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Stockport County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Oxford	2	0	1	1	-2	1
40	Luton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Reading	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Tranmere	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Mansfield Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Ipswich	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Harrogate Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Arsenal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Wycombe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Watford	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Plymouth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Colchester	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Cardiff	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Doncaster	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lincoln	4	2	1	1	+4	7
2	Bristol City	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Brighton	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Exeter City	2	1	1	0	+7	4
5	Leicester	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Crystal Palace	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Blackburn	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Derby	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Charlton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Gillingham	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Southampton	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Preston	2	1	0	1	+2	3
14	Portsmouth	2	1	0	1	+2	3
15	Milton Keynes Dons	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Aston Villa	2	1	0	1	+1	3
18	Stevenage	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Peterborough	2	1	0	1	+1	3
20	Wycombe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Rotherham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Newcastle	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Colchester	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Stockport County	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Burnley	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Barnsley	2	1	0	1	-1	3
27	Morecambe	2	1	0	1	-1	3
28	Newport County	2	1	0	1	-2	3
29	Everton	2	1	0	1	-2	3
30	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Tranmere	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Sheffield Weds	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Barrow	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Stoke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Bournemouth	2	0	1	1	-1	1
38	Carlisle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Leeds	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Sutton Utd	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Wigan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Crawley Town	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Chelsea	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Tottenham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Leyton Orient	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Rochdale	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Salford City	1	0	0	1	-4	0
57	Hartlepool	1	0	0	1	-4	0
58	Crewe	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.