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Championship
Referee: T Kirk
Norwich
S T S S S
2–1
Full-time
Coventry
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich Coventry
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 45%
29%
61%
Points per game
1,1
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
50%
61%
Both score Ø 65%
68%
61%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,25 xG 1,67
49% Possession 51%
16 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 7
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Norwich 20. · Coventry 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Coventry 28 17 7 4 +30 +22.5 58
2 Ipswich 28 14 8 6 +21 +22.5 50
3 Millwall 28 14 7 7 +3 +5.2 49
4 Middlesbrough 26 14 6 6 +10 +9.4 48
5 Hull 26 14 5 7 +8 -13.7 47
6 Wrexham 29 11 11 7 +6 -4.8 44
7 Bristol City 29 12 7 10 +9 +1.3 43
8 Watford 28 11 10 7 +6 +7.0 43
9 Preston 29 11 10 8 +3 -7.3 43
10 Stoke 29 12 6 11 +8 -5.8 42
11 Derby 29 11 9 9 +2 -5.2 42
12 QPR 29 11 7 11 -2 +1.6 40
13 Birmingham 29 10 9 10 +1 +13.6 39
14 Leicester 29 10 8 11 -3 -11.5 38
15 Southampton 27 9 9 9 +4 +11.1 36
16 Swansea 29 10 6 13 -5 -7.6 36
17 Sheffield United 28 11 2 15 -2 +11.8 35
18 Charlton 28 8 8 12 -11 -13.1 32
19 West Brom 29 9 5 15 -12 +6.3 32
20 Norwich 28 8 6 14 -5 -9.9 30
21 Portsmouth 27 7 9 11 -13 -6.1 30
22 Blackburn 28 7 8 13 -11 +4.6 29
23 Oxford 28 6 9 13 -9 -5.0 27
24 Sheffield Weds 28 1 8 19 -38 -27.1 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Norwich Coventry
18′
🟨 Romain Esse
38′
R. Esse 0–1
Half-time 0–1
J. Wright 🔁
↦ P. Mattsson
46′
P. A. Diallo 🔁
↦ T. Springett
46′
1–1 A. Slimane
A. Ahmed
46′
José Córdoba 🟨
55′
62′
🔁 T. Sakamoto
↦ R. Esse
62′
🔁 J. Eccles
↦ B. Thomas-Asante
2–1 A. Ahmed
P. A. Diallo
67′
71′
🔁 E. Simms
↦ H. Wright
72′
🔁 Yang Min-Hyuk
↦ E. Mason-Clark
H. Amass 🔁
↦ A. Ahmed
75′
O. Schwartau 🔁
↦ A. Slimane
78′
J. Stacey 🔁
↦ B. Chrisene
82′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Norwich

4-2-3-1
1 V. Kovacevic G
35 K. Fisher D
15 R. McConville D
33 J. Cordoba D
14 B. Chrisene D
7 P. Mattsson M
23 K. McLean M
42 T. Springett M
20 A. Slimane M
21 A. Ahmed M
24 J. Makama F
Bench (9)
32 D. Grimshaw
2 H. Amass
3 J. Stacey
6 H. Darling
16 J. Wright
10 M. Jurasek
29 O. Schwartau
19 P. A. Diallo
30 M. Kvistgaarden

Coach: Philippe Clement

Coventry

4-2-3-1
19 C. Rushworth G
27 M. van Ewijk D
4 B. Thomas D
15 L. Kitching D
3 J. Dasilva D
29 V. Torp M
6 M. Grimes M
14 R. Esse M
23 B. Thomas-Asante M
10 E. Mason-Clark M
11 H. Wright F
Bench (9)
13 B. Wilson
7 T. Sakamoto
9 E. Simms
18 Yang Min-Hyuk
21 J. Bidwell
22 J. Latibeaudiere
26 L. Woolfenden
28 J. Eccles
20 K. Kesler-Hayden

Coach: Frank Lampard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,84
U
3,51
B
2,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,12
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Kirk · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.