Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Norwich
Coventry
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Coventry
|
28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | +30 | +22.5 | 58 |
| 2 |
Ipswich
|
28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +21 | +22.5 | 50 |
| 3 |
Millwall
|
28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | +3 | +5.2 | 49 |
| 4 |
Middlesbrough
|
26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | +10 | +9.4 | 48 |
| 5 |
Hull
|
26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | +8 | -13.7 | 47 |
| 6 |
Wrexham
|
29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | +6 | -4.8 | 44 |
| 7 |
Bristol City
|
29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | +9 | +1.3 | 43 |
| 8 |
Watford
|
28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | +6 | +7.0 | 43 |
| 9 |
Preston
|
29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | +3 | -7.3 | 43 |
| 10 |
Stoke
|
29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | +8 | -5.8 | 42 |
| 11 |
Derby
|
29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | +2 | -5.2 | 42 |
| 12 |
QPR
|
29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | -2 | +1.6 | 40 |
| 13 |
Birmingham
|
29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | +1 | +13.6 | 39 |
| 14 |
Leicester
|
29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | -3 | -11.5 | 38 |
| 15 |
Southampton
|
27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | +4 | +11.1 | 36 |
| 16 |
Swansea
|
29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -5 | -7.6 | 36 |
| 17 |
Sheffield United
|
28 | 11 | 2 | 15 | -2 | +11.8 | 35 |
| 18 |
Charlton
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -11 | -13.1 | 32 |
| 19 |
West Brom
|
29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | -12 | +6.3 | 32 |
| 20 |
Norwich
|
28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | -5 | -9.9 | 30 |
| 21 |
Portsmouth
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | -13 | -6.1 | 30 |
| 22 |
Blackburn
|
28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -11 | +4.6 | 29 |
| 23 |
Oxford
|
28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -9 | -5.0 | 27 |
| 24 |
Sheffield Weds
|
28 | 1 | 8 | 19 | -38 | -27.1 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
V. Kovacevic
G
K. Fisher
D
R. McConville
D
J. Cordoba
D
B. Chrisene
D
P. Mattsson
M
K. McLean
M
A. Slimane
M
J. Makama
F
Coach: Philippe Clement
C. Rushworth
G
M. van Ewijk
D
B. Thomas
D
L. Kitching
D
J. Dasilva
D
V. Torp
M
M. Grimes
M
R. Esse
M
B. Thomas-Asante
M
E. Mason-Clark
M
Coach: Frank Lampard
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
West Brom
Norwich
Wrexham
Norwich
Norwich
Walsall
Norwich
Stoke
QPR
Norwich
T Kirk · 43 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.