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Championship
Referee: Dean Whitestone
QPR
S T S U T
1–2
Full-time
Norwich
U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

QPR Norwich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 32%
42%
21%
Points per game
1,5
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
63%
46%
Both score Ø 73%
75%
71%
Average goals
3,0
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,72 xG 1,90
52% Possession 48%
10 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match QPR 10. · Norwich 23.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Coventry 24 15 6 3 +29 +19.8 51
2 Ipswich 24 11 8 5 +17 +19.2 41
3 Middlesbrough 22 11 6 5 +5 +6.7 39
4 Millwall 23 11 6 6 -3 +0.5 39
5 Watford 24 10 8 6 +5 +6.2 38
6 Hull 22 11 5 6 +4 -11.4 38
7 Preston 24 9 10 5 +6 -5.9 37
8 Wrexham 25 9 10 6 +5 -5.2 37
9 Bristol City 24 10 6 8 +6 +0.1 36
10 QPR 24 10 5 9 -3 +1.7 35
11 Stoke 24 10 4 10 +6 -6.1 34
12 Leicester 24 9 7 8 +0 -6.2 34
13 Derby 24 8 8 8 +0 -6.2 32
14 Southampton 23 8 7 8 +4 +10.0 31
15 Birmingham 24 8 7 9 +1 +11.3 31
16 West Brom 24 9 4 11 -4 +4.1 31
17 Sheffield United 24 9 2 13 -4 +10.1 29
18 Swansea 24 8 5 11 -6 -6.9 29
19 Blackburn 24 7 6 11 -6 +7.8 27
20 Charlton 23 7 6 10 -7 -9.3 27
21 Portsmouth 23 6 7 10 -9 -6.6 25
22 Oxford 24 5 7 12 -9 -6.8 22
23 Norwich 24 5 6 13 -10 -8.4 21
24 Sheffield Weds 23 1 8 14 -27 -18.4 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

QPR Norwich
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Ben Chrisene
46′
J. Sargent 0–1
M. Jurasek
K. Poku 🔁
↦ K. Dembele
56′
K. Saito 🔁
↦ P. Smyth
57′
61′
🔁 J. Makama
↦ O. Schwartau
61′
🔁 L. Mahovo
↦ B. Chrisene
K. Morgan 🔁
↦ I. Hayden
65′
72′
🟨 Vladan Kovačević
72′
🔁 J. Stacey
↦ M. Jurasek
72′
🔁 T. Springett
↦ J. Sargent
R. Kolli 🔁
↦ R. Kone
74′
82′
🟨 Jack Stacey
87′
🔁 M. Kvistgaarden
↦ J. Wright
90′
J. Makama 0–2
M. Kvistgaarden
1–2 A. S. Mbengue
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

QPR

4-4-2
1 P. Nardi G
27 A. S. Mbengue D
3 J. Dunne D
5 S. Cook D
18 R. Norrington-Davies D
7 K. Dembele M
24 N. Madsen M
15 I. Hayden M
11 P. Smyth M
22 R. Kone F
16 R. Burrell F
Bench (9)
29 B. Hamer
4 L. Morrison
8 S. Field
14 K. Saito
17 K. Poku
20 H. Vale
21 K. Morgan
26 R. Kolli
40 J. Varane

Coach: Julien Stephan

Norwich

4-2-3-1
1 V. Kovacevic G
35 K. Fisher D
15 R. McConville D
33 J. Cordoba D
14 B. Chrisene D
23 K. McLean M
7 P. Mattsson M
10 M. Jurasek M
16 J. Wright M
29 O. Schwartau M
9 J. Sargent F
Bench (9)
32 D. Grimshaw
3 J. Stacey
6 H. Darling
11 E. Marcondes
20 A. Slimane
24 J. Makama
30 M. Kvistgaarden
42 T. Springett
47 L. Mahovo

Coach: Philippe Clement

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,11
U
3,44
B ✓
3,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,87
U2,5
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Dean Whitestone · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
10,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.