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Premier League
Referee: S Hooper
Everton
S T U U S
1–1
Full-time
Leeds
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Everton Leeds
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 34%
41%
27%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
32%
59%
Both score Ø 50%
36%
64%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,70 xG 1,38
58% Possession 42%
10 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Everton 11. · Leeds 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Arsenal 23 15 5 3 +25 +24.1 50
2 Man City 23 14 4 5 +26 +15.7 46
3 Aston Villa 23 14 4 5 +10 -5.0 46
4 Man United 23 10 8 5 +7 +12.7 38
5 Chelsea 23 10 7 6 +14 +8.1 37
6 Liverpool 23 10 6 7 +3 +9.9 36
7 Fulham 23 10 4 9 +0 -6.6 34
8 Brentford 23 10 3 10 +3 +7.1 33
9 Newcastle 23 9 6 8 +3 +9.6 33
10 Sunderland 23 8 9 6 -2 -12.6 33
11 Everton 22 9 5 8 -1 -8.0 32
12 Brighton 23 7 9 7 +2 +2.8 30
13 Bournemouth 23 7 9 7 -5 +3.1 30
14 Tottenham 23 7 7 9 +2 -6.9 28
15 Crystal Palace 23 7 7 9 -4 +4.4 28
16 Leeds 22 6 7 9 -7 +0.1 25
17 Nott'm Forest 23 7 4 12 -11 -7.6 25
18 West Ham 23 5 5 13 -18 -13.0 20
19 Burnley 23 3 6 14 -19 -27.2 15
20 Wolves 23 1 5 17 -28 -10.6 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Everton Leeds
28′
J. Justin 0–1
A. Stach
Half-time 0–1
K. Dewsbury-Hall 🔁
↦ D. McNeil
46′
J. Branthwaite 🔁
↦ H. Armstrong
46′
54′
🟨 Anton Stach
56′
🟨 Ilia Gruev
66′
🔁 A. Tanaka
↦ I. Gruev
T. Dibling 🔁
↦ N. Patterson
71′
1–1 T. Barry
I. Gueye
76′
85′
🔁 N. Okafor
↦ B. Aaronson
85′
🔁 S. Longstaff
↦ A. Stach
85′
🔁 F. Buonanotte
↦ S. Bornauw
Beto 🔁
↦ T. Barry
89′
90′
🟨 Facundo Buonanotte
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Everton

4-2-3-1
1 J. Pickford G
2 N. Patterson D
6 J. Tarkowski D
15 J. O'Brien D
16 V. Mykolenko D
27 I. Gueye M
37 J. Garner M
7 D. McNeil M
45 H. Armstrong M
10 I. Ndiaye M
11 T. Barry F
Bench (9)
12 M. Travers
22 K. Dewsbury-Hall
9 Beto
24 C. Alcaraz
20 T. Dibling
39 A. Aznou
23 S. Coleman
32 J. Branthwaite
34 M. Rohl

Coach: Leighton Baines

Leeds

3-4-2-1
26 K. Darlow G
6 J. Rodon D
23 S. Bornauw D
5 P. Struijk D
2 J. Bogle M
4 E. Ampadu M
44 I. Gruev M
24 J. Justin M
18 A. Stach F
11 B. Aaronson F
9 D. Calvert-Lewin F
Bench (9)
1 Lucas Perri
19 N. Okafor
25 S. Byram
14 L. Nmecha
8 S. Longstaff
10 J. Piroe
22 A. Tanaka
29 W. Gnonto
40 F. Buonanotte

Coach: Daniel Farke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,48
U ✓
3,15
B
2,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,19
U2,5 ✓
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Hooper · 168 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.