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Ekstraklasa

Referee: S Marciniak

Piast Gliwice

S S T T U

4–1

Full-time

Arka Gdynia

U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Piast Gliwice Arka Gdynia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 33%

34%

31%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

52%

62%

Both score Ø 52%

55%

48%

Average goals

2,6

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,46 xG 1,22

64% Possession 36%

24 Shots 7

12 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 8

6 Corners 5

1 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Piast Gliwice 16. · Arka Gdynia 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	30	14	10	6	+14	+25.7	52
2	Gornik Zabrze	30	14	7	9	+9	-3.7	49
3	Jagiellonia	30	12	10	8	+11	-4.9	46
4	Rakow	30	13	7	10	+6	+8.7	46
5	Wisla Plock	30	12	9	9	+4	-0.9	45
6	Zaglebie	30	12	8	10	+7	-7.3	44
7	GKS Katowice	30	13	5	12	+2	-5.6	44
8	Lechia Gdansk	30	12	7	11	+3	+5.2	43
9	Radomiak Radom	30	10	10	10	+3	+1.0	40
10	Motor Lublin	30	9	12	9	-6	-8.9	39
11	Korona Kielce	30	10	8	12	+1	-3.6	38
12	Cracovia	30	9	11	10	-3	+1.9	38
13	Pogon Szczecin	30	11	5	14	-5	+4.1	38
14	Legia	30	8	13	9	-2	+2.0	37
15	Widzew Lodz	30	10	6	14	-1	+4.6	36
16	Piast Gliwice	29	10	6	13	-4	-2.9	36
17	Arka Gdynia	29	9	7	13	-20	-6.2	34
18	Nieciecza	30	7	7	16	-19	-9.1	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	15	10	1	4	+15	+3.5	31
2	GKS Katowice	15	9	2	4	+7	-0.4	29
3	Arka Gdynia	15	8	5	2	+4	-1.0	29
4	Radomiak Radom	15	8	4	3	+15	+10.3	28
5	Lechia Gdansk	16	8	4	4	+12	+6.1	28
6	Wisla Plock	15	8	3	4	+5	+2.0	27
7	Zaglebie	15	7	5	3	+12	+0.9	26
8	Lech Poznan	15	7	5	3	+10	+15.6	26
9	Pogon Szczecin	15	8	2	5	+6	+6.0	26
10	Widzew Lodz	15	7	4	4	+5	+4.7	25
11	Jagiellonia	15	7	3	5	+8	+2.9	24
12	Legia	15	6	6	3	+6	+4.5	24
13	Motor Lublin	15	5	8	2	+4	+1.0	23
14	Korona Kielce	15	6	4	5	+5	+4.1	22
15	Rakow	14	6	4	4	+5	+4.8	22
16	Cracovia	15	5	7	3	+4	+6.3	22
17	Piast Gliwice	14	5	3	6	-1	+2.1	18
18	Nieciecza	15	3	4	8	-10	-3.6	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	15	7	5	3	+4	+10.1	26
2	Rakow	16	7	3	6	+1	+3.9	24
3	Jagiellonia	15	5	7	3	+3	-7.8	22
4	Wisla Plock	15	4	6	5	-1	-3.0	18
5	Piast Gliwice	15	5	3	7	-3	-5.0	18
6	Zaglebie	15	5	3	7	-5	-8.2	18
7	Gornik Zabrze	15	4	6	5	-6	-7.2	18
8	Korona Kielce	15	4	4	7	-4	-7.7	16
9	Cracovia	15	4	4	7	-7	-4.4	16
10	Motor Lublin	15	4	4	7	-10	-9.9	16
11	GKS Katowice	15	4	3	8	-5	-5.2	15
12	Lechia Gdansk	14	4	3	7	-9	-1.0	15
13	Nieciecza	15	4	3	8	-9	-5.5	15
14	Legia	15	2	7	6	-8	-2.5	13
15	Pogon Szczecin	15	3	3	9	-11	-1.9	12
16	Radomiak Radom	15	2	6	7	-12	-9.3	12
17	Widzew Lodz	15	3	2	10	-6	-0.2	11
18	Arka Gdynia	14	1	2	11	-24	-5.2	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.