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Ekstraklasa

Referee: Damian Kos

Zaglebie

T S U T U

2–0

Full-time

Gornik Zabrze

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaglebie Gornik Zabrze

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,5

2,3

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 13/14 matches

Win Ø 48%

31%

64%

Points per game

1,4

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

69%

57%

Both score Ø 67%

77%

57%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

1,9

Conceded

1,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,54 xG 0,83

30% Possession 70%

6 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 12

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zaglebie 9. · Gornik Zabrze 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	14	9	2	3	+14	-1.3	29
2	Wisla Plock	13	7	4	2	+9	+7.3	25
3	Jagiellonia	13	7	3	3	+8	+0.6	24
4	Radomiak Radom	15	6	4	5	+4	+1.2	22
5	Cracovia	14	6	4	4	+4	+3.5	22
6	Lech Poznan	13	5	6	2	+2	+6.9	21
7	Korona Kielce	14	5	5	4	+4	-0.7	20
8	Rakow	13	6	2	5	-1	+0.8	20
9	Zaglebie	13	4	6	3	+7	-1.9	18
10	Legia	13	4	5	4	+2	+2.6	17
11	Widzew Lodz	14	5	2	7	+0	+2.9	17
12	GKS Katowice	14	5	2	7	-4	-6.9	17
13	Pogon Szczecin	14	5	2	7	-5	+4.5	17
14	Motor Lublin	13	3	6	4	-5	-2.5	15
15	Lechia Gdansk	14	4	3	7	-8	-3.1	15
16	Arka Gdynia	14	4	3	7	-15	-6.0	15
17	Nieciecza	14	2	4	8	-11	-1.8	10
18	Piast Gliwice	12	1	5	6	-5	-6.2	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	8	6	1	1	+9	+6.2	19
2	Gornik Zabrze	8	6	0	2	+10	+1.7	18
3	Radomiak Radom	8	5	2	1	+11	+3.3	17
4	Jagiellonia	7	5	0	2	+7	+0.6	15
5	Cracovia	7	4	3	0	+6	+5.1	15
6	Widzew Lodz	8	4	2	2	+5	+2.1	14
7	Arka Gdynia	6	4	2	0	+4	-2.2	14
8	Korona Kielce	6	4	1	1	+7	+1.3	13
9	Zaglebie	6	3	3	0	+10	+1.9	12
10	Legia	6	3	3	0	+6	+2.3	12
11	Pogon Szczecin	6	4	0	2	+3	+4.5	12
12	GKS Katowice	7	3	1	3	+0	-3.1	10
13	Lech Poznan	8	2	4	2	-2	+5.0	10
14	Motor Lublin	6	2	3	1	+1	+2.1	9
15	Lechia Gdansk	6	2	2	2	+1	+1.0	8
16	Rakow	6	2	2	2	+1	+1.6	8
17	Piast Gliwice	6	1	3	2	+0	-1.2	6
18	Nieciecza	7	0	2	5	-10	-1.1	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	7	4	0	3	-2	-0.8	12
2	Lech Poznan	5	3	2	0	+4	+1.9	11
3	Gornik Zabrze	6	3	2	1	+4	-3.0	11
4	Jagiellonia	6	2	3	1	+1	–	9
5	Nieciecza	7	2	2	3	-1	-0.6	8
6	Cracovia	7	2	1	4	-2	-1.6	7
7	Korona Kielce	8	1	4	3	-3	-2.1	7
8	GKS Katowice	7	2	1	4	-4	-3.7	7
9	Lechia Gdansk	8	2	1	5	-9	-4.2	7
10	Wisla Plock	5	1	3	1	+0	+1.1	6
11	Zaglebie	7	1	3	3	-3	-3.8	6
12	Motor Lublin	7	1	3	3	-6	-4.6	6
13	Legia	7	1	2	4	-4	+0.3	5
14	Radomiak Radom	7	1	2	4	-7	-2.2	5
15	Pogon Szczecin	8	1	2	5	-8	-0.0	5
16	Widzew Lodz	6	1	0	5	-5	+0.8	3
17	Piast Gliwice	6	0	2	4	-5	-5.0	2
18	Arka Gdynia	8	0	1	7	-19	-3.8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.