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Allsvenskan
Referee: G Nyberg
1–0
Full-time
Hammarby
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brommapojkarna Hammarby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
This season — Allsvenskan · 15/16 matches
Win Ø 39%
40%
38%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
60%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
53%
56%
Average goals
2,9
2,9
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,32 xG 1,08
46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 11
3 Offside 1
21 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brommapojkarna 10. · Hammarby 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Elfsborg 15 11 3 1 +24 +3.0 36
2 Hacken 16 11 2 3 +24 -0.3 35
3 Malmo FF 15 11 1 3 +21 -0.2 34
4 Djurgarden 16 9 3 4 +7 +0.9 30
5 Halmstad 15 7 3 5 -3 -0.5 24
6 Norrkoping 15 6 4 5 +3 +3.7 22
7 Kalmar 15 6 4 5 -2 -2.3 22
8 Hammarby 16 6 4 6 -3 +0.4 22
9 Mjallby 15 5 4 6 -3 -3.9 19
10 Brommapojkarna 15 6 1 8 -5 +0.3 19
11 Sirius 15 4 5 6 -4 -0.3 17
12 Varnamo 15 5 1 9 -5 +0.1 16
13 Degerfors 16 4 2 10 -24 +0.2 14
14 AIK 15 3 4 8 -6 -0.7 13
15 Goteborg 15 1 6 8 -6 -1.9 9
16 Varberg 15 1 5 9 -18 +1.6 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brommapojkarna Hammarby
Kevin Ackermann 🟨
34′
37′
🔁 M. Fenger
↦ E. Kurtulus
42′
🟨 Fredrik Hammar
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 T. Tekie
↦ F. Hammar
Oscar Pettersson 🟨
49′
1–0 K. Ackermann
A. Jensen
56′
M. Ćosić 🔁
↦ W. Odefalk
57′
N. Vasić 🔁
↦ Alexander Johansson
71′
T. Waker 🔁
↦ K. Ackermann
71′
71′
🔁 M. Madjed
↦ A. Demirol
71′
🔁 A. Nalić
↦ J. Nilsson
Ludvig Fritzson 🟨
74′
86′
🔁 M. Rafferty
↦ S. Strand
S. Kroon 🔁
↦ O. Pettersson
89′
F. Nissen 🔁
↦ A. Calisir
89′
Samuel Kroon 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Brommapojkarna

3-4-3
1 L. Hägg-Johansson G
26 A. Calisir D
4 A. Sögaard D
2 T. Heggem D
17 A. Jensen M
13 L. Fritzson M
15 S. Leach Holm M
24 K. Ackermann M
7 O. Pettersson F
18 Alexander Johansson F
12 W. Odefalk F
Bench (9)
10 M. Ćosić
9 N. Vasić
23 T. Waker
21 S. Kroon
14 F. Nissen
31 O. Ekperuoh
8 L. Jordan
22 Rebin Solaka
20 F. Sidklev

Coach: A. Engelmark

Hammarby

4-3-3
1 O. Dovin G
36 M. Karlsson D
4 E. Kurtulus D
30 S. Pinas D
21 S. Strand D
20 N. Besara M
34 A. Demirol M
33 F. Hammar M
22 J. Nilsson F
19 J. Erabi F
7 V. Đukanović F
Bench (9)
13 M. Fenger
5 T. Tekie
38 M. Madjed
9 A. Nalić
45 M. Rafferty
25 D. Blažević
31 S. Alioum
32 N. Adjei
18 L. Sadiku

Coach: Martí Cifuentes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Nyberg · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.