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Ekstraklasa

Legia

T U S S S

4–1

Full-time

Nieciecza

T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Legia Nieciecza

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,7

2,3

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,7

This season — Ekstraklasa · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 30%

38%

21%

Points per game

1,2

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

46%

54%

Both score Ø 51%

38%

63%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,1

1,0

Conceded

1,4

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Legia 12. · Nieciecza 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	25	15	6	4	+21	51
2	Pogon Szczecin	25	14	8	3	+24	50
3	Lech Poznan	25	14	7	4	+30	49
4	Lechia Gdansk	25	11	7	7	+8	40
5	Radomiak Radom	25	10	10	5	+7	40
6	Gornik Zabrze	25	10	6	9	+3	36
7	Wisla Plock	25	11	3	11	+0	36
8	Piast Gliwice	25	9	7	9	+3	34
9	Cracovia	25	8	8	9	-3	32
10	Stal Mielec	25	8	8	9	-4	32
11	Jagiellonia	25	7	9	9	-8	30
12	Legia	24	9	1	14	-7	28
13	Zaglebie	25	8	4	13	-15	28
14	Slask Wroclaw	25	6	9	10	-5	27
15	Warta Poznan	25	6	9	10	-7	27
16	Wisla	25	6	6	13	-13	24
17	Leczna	25	5	9	11	-18	24
18	Nieciecza	24	5	7	12	-16	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	12	9	2	1	+24	29
2	Pogon Szczecin	12	9	2	1	+19	29
3	Wisla Plock	12	9	2	1	+14	29
4	Rakow	12	8	3	1	+18	27
5	Lechia Gdansk	12	8	3	1	+12	27
6	Radomiak Radom	12	6	5	1	+8	23
7	Gornik Zabrze	13	6	3	4	+5	21
8	Stal Mielec	13	6	3	4	+1	21
9	Cracovia	13	5	4	4	+2	19
10	Jagiellonia	13	4	6	3	+3	18
11	Piast Gliwice	13	5	3	5	+0	18
12	Legia	12	6	0	6	+0	18
13	Zaglebie	12	5	2	5	+0	17
14	Nieciecza	13	4	4	5	-4	16
15	Slask Wroclaw	12	3	6	3	-1	15
16	Wisla	12	4	3	5	-1	15
17	Warta Poznan	13	3	6	4	-3	15
18	Leczna	13	3	5	5	-8	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	13	7	3	3	+3	24
2	Pogon Szczecin	13	5	6	2	+5	21
3	Lech Poznan	13	5	5	3	+6	20
4	Radomiak Radom	13	4	5	4	-1	17
5	Piast Gliwice	12	4	4	4	+3	16
6	Gornik Zabrze	12	4	3	5	-2	15
7	Lechia Gdansk	13	3	4	6	-4	13
8	Cracovia	12	3	4	5	-5	13
9	Slask Wroclaw	13	3	3	7	-4	12
10	Warta Poznan	12	3	3	6	-4	12
11	Jagiellonia	12	3	3	6	-11	12
12	Stal Mielec	12	2	5	5	-5	11
13	Zaglebie	13	3	2	8	-15	11
14	Legia	12	3	1	8	-7	10
15	Leczna	12	2	4	6	-10	10
16	Wisla	13	2	3	8	-12	9
17	Wisla Plock	13	2	1	10	-14	7
18	Nieciecza	11	1	3	7	-12	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.