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Serie B

Venezia

S U T T U

2–1

Full-time

Ascoli

T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Venezia Ascoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,5

This season — Serie B · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 28%

24%

31%

Points per game

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

28%

59%

Both score Ø 56%

52%

59%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

0,9

1,3

Conceded

1,1

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

14 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 6

7 Corners 4

12 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Venezia 16. · Ascoli 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	29	22	6	1	+40	72
2	Crotone	29	15	5	9	+14	50
3	Frosinone	29	13	9	7	+10	48
4	Spezia	29	13	8	8	+9	47
5	Cittadella	29	13	7	9	+5	46
6	Pordenone	30	13	7	10	+0	46
7	Salernitana	29	12	7	10	+4	43
8	Chievo	29	10	12	7	+7	42
9	Empoli	29	10	10	9	-2	40
10	Perugia	29	11	6	12	-6	39
11	Virtus Entella	29	10	8	11	-2	38
12	Pescara	29	11	5	13	-4	38
13	Pisa	29	9	10	10	+0	37
14	Juve Stabia	29	10	6	13	-10	36
15	Cremonese	29	8	9	12	-3	33
16	Venezia	29	7	12	10	-7	33
17	Ascoli	29	9	5	15	-8	32
18	Trapani	30	6	11	13	-18	29
19	Cosenza	29	6	9	14	-5	27
20	Livorno	29	4	6	19	-24	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	15	12	3	0	+28	39
2	Crotone	15	9	4	2	+14	31
3	Pordenone	15	9	4	2	+11	31
4	Frosinone	14	9	3	2	+13	30
5	Spezia	15	9	3	3	+10	30
6	Salernitana	14	8	5	1	+11	29
7	Juve Stabia	15	8	2	5	+2	26
8	Empoli	15	6	7	2	+7	25
9	Virtus Entella	14	7	4	3	+5	25
10	Chievo	14	7	3	4	+7	24
11	Ascoli	14	7	3	4	+5	24
12	Perugia	15	7	3	5	+2	24
13	Pescara	15	6	5	4	+7	23
14	Pisa	15	6	5	4	+3	23
15	Cremonese	14	5	4	5	+3	19
16	Cittadella	15	5	4	6	-3	19
17	Trapani	15	4	6	5	+1	18
18	Cosenza	14	3	4	7	-4	13
19	Venezia	14	2	5	7	-8	11
20	Livorno	14	3	2	9	-13	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	14	10	3	1	+12	33
2	Cittadella	14	8	3	3	+8	27
3	Venezia	15	5	7	3	+1	22
4	Crotone	14	6	1	7	+0	19
5	Chievo	15	3	9	3	+0	18
6	Frosinone	15	4	6	5	-3	18
7	Spezia	14	4	5	5	-1	17
8	Perugia	14	4	3	7	-8	15
9	Empoli	14	4	3	7	-9	15
10	Pordenone	15	4	3	8	-11	15
11	Pescara	14	5	0	9	-11	15
12	Cosenza	15	3	5	7	-1	14
13	Pisa	14	3	5	6	-3	14
14	Cremonese	15	3	5	7	-6	14
15	Salernitana	15	4	2	9	-7	14
16	Virtus Entella	15	3	4	8	-7	13
17	Trapani	15	2	5	8	-19	11
18	Juve Stabia	14	2	4	8	-12	10
19	Ascoli	15	2	2	11	-13	8
20	Livorno	15	1	4	10	-11	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.