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2. Bundesliga

Heidenheim

T S T S U

3–0

Full-time

Erzgebirge Aue

S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heidenheim Erzgebirge Aue

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 40%

43%

36%

Points per game

1,6

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

46%

54%

Both score Ø 48%

39%

57%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,4

Conceded

1,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

16 Shots 13

8 Shots on target 5

4 Corners 4

11 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heidenheim 4. · Erzgebirge Aue 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	28	15	11	2	+27	56
2	Stuttgart	28	14	6	8	+12	48
3	Hamburg	28	12	10	6	+19	46
4	Heidenheim	28	12	9	7	+6	45
5	Darmstadt	29	10	13	6	+4	43
6	Greuther Furth	28	10	8	10	+2	38
7	Erzgebirge Aue	28	10	8	10	+0	38
8	Holstein Kiel	29	10	8	11	-1	38
9	Bochum	29	8	12	9	-1	36
10	Sandhausen	29	8	12	9	-2	36
11	Hannover	28	9	9	10	-3	36
12	Regensburg	29	9	9	11	-6	36
13	St Pauli	29	8	11	10	-2	35
14	Osnabruck	29	8	10	11	-3	34
15	Nurnberg	29	7	11	11	-12	32
16	Karlsruhe	29	6	12	11	-11	30
17	Wehen	28	7	7	14	-13	28
18	Dresden	25	6	6	13	-16	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	14	11	1	2	+19	34
2	Erzgebirge Aue	14	9	3	2	+13	30
3	Hamburg	13	9	2	2	+18	29
4	Heidenheim	14	8	4	2	+12	28
5	St Pauli	15	7	5	3	+9	26
6	Bielefeld	13	6	6	1	+12	24
7	Darmstadt	15	5	9	1	+8	24
8	Greuther Furth	14	7	2	5	+2	23
9	Bochum	15	5	7	3	+5	22
10	Regensburg	14	6	4	4	+2	22
11	Sandhausen	15	5	7	3	+2	22
12	Osnabruck	15	5	4	6	+0	19
13	Karlsruhe	15	4	6	5	-2	18
14	Holstein Kiel	14	4	5	5	-2	17
15	Dresden	13	5	2	6	-2	17
16	Nurnberg	15	3	7	5	-9	16
17	Hannover	13	2	8	3	-4	14
18	Wehen	14	3	4	7	-13	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	15	9	5	1	+15	32
2	Hannover	15	7	1	7	+1	22
3	Holstein Kiel	15	6	3	6	+1	21
4	Darmstadt	14	5	4	5	-4	19
5	Hamburg	15	3	8	4	+1	17
6	Heidenheim	14	4	5	5	-6	17
7	Nurnberg	14	4	4	6	-3	16
8	Wehen	14	4	3	7	+0	15
9	Greuther Furth	14	3	6	5	+0	15
10	Osnabruck	14	3	6	5	-3	15
11	Sandhausen	14	3	5	6	-4	14
12	Bochum	14	3	5	6	-6	14
13	Stuttgart	14	3	5	6	-7	14
14	Regensburg	15	3	5	7	-8	14
15	Karlsruhe	14	2	6	6	-9	12
16	St Pauli	14	1	6	7	-11	9
17	Erzgebirge Aue	14	1	5	8	-13	8
18	Dresden	12	1	4	7	-14	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.