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Ligue 1

Referee: E Wattellier

Reims

T T T U T

1–3

Full-time

Metz

T U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reims Metz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

1,8

3,5

Scored

0,3

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 35/1 matches

Win Ø 12%

23%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 22%

43%

Both score Ø 75%

49%

100%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%

18 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 6

2 Offside 4

16 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	34	26	6	2	+57	+59.0	84
2	Marseille	34	20	5	9	+27	+18.4	65
3	Monaco	34	18	7	9	+22	+39.3	61
4	Nice	34	17	9	8	+25	+22.0	60
5	Lille	34	17	9	8	+16	+12.2	60
6	Lyon	34	17	6	11	+19	+14.5	57
7	Strasbourg	34	16	9	9	+12	-8.5	57
8	Lens	34	15	7	12	+3	+7.4	52
9	Brest	34	15	5	14	-7	-12.3	50
10	Toulouse	34	11	9	14	+1	+12.5	42
11	Auxerre	34	11	9	14	-3	-16.7	42
12	Rennes	34	13	2	19	+1	+2.7	41
13	Nantes	34	8	12	14	-13	-16.9	36
14	Angers	34	10	6	18	-21	-22.1	36
15	Reims	35	8	10	17	-14	-21.0	34
16	Le Havre	34	10	4	20	-31	-21.8	34
17	St Etienne	34	8	6	20	-38	-39.1	30
18	Montpellier	34	4	4	26	-56	-29.6	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	17	14	2	1	+29	+33.1	44
2	Monaco	17	12	3	2	+22	+25.4	39
3	Nice	17	11	4	2	+23	+20.4	37
4	Lille	17	11	4	2	+13	+4.8	37
5	Lyon	17	11	2	4	+16	+13.5	35
6	Strasbourg	17	10	5	2	+13	-2.4	35
7	Marseille	17	10	4	3	+18	+18.0	34
8	Brest	17	10	3	4	+10	-1.2	33
9	Rennes	17	9	1	7	+8	+5.8	28
10	Auxerre	17	7	6	4	+7	-0.3	27
11	Lens	17	7	2	8	-3	+8.0	23
12	Nantes	17	5	6	6	+1	+1.4	21
13	St Etienne	17	6	3	8	-9	-10.0	21
14	Toulouse	17	5	5	7	-2	+2.9	20
15	Angers	17	5	2	10	-15	-12.6	17
16	Reims	17	4	4	9	-8	-6.1	16
17	Montpellier	17	3	4	10	-24	-6.6	13
18	Le Havre	17	3	2	12	-26	-14.5	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	17	12	4	1	+28	+25.8	40
2	Marseille	17	10	1	6	+9	+0.4	31
3	Lens	17	8	5	4	+6	-0.6	29
4	Lille	17	6	5	6	+3	+7.4	23
5	Nice	17	6	5	6	+2	+1.6	23
6	Le Havre	17	7	2	8	-5	-7.3	23
7	Lyon	17	6	4	7	+3	+1.0	22
8	Toulouse	17	6	4	7	+3	+9.6	22
9	Monaco	17	6	4	7	+0	+13.9	22
10	Strasbourg	17	6	4	7	-1	-6.1	22
11	Angers	17	5	4	8	-6	-9.5	19
12	Reims	18	4	6	8	-6	-14.9	18
13	Brest	17	5	2	10	-17	-11.1	17
14	Auxerre	17	4	3	10	-10	-16.4	15
15	Nantes	17	3	6	8	-14	-18.4	15
16	Rennes	17	4	1	12	-7	-3.1	13
17	St Etienne	17	2	3	12	-29	-29.1	9
18	Montpellier	17	1	0	16	-32	-23.0	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.