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Champions League
Referee: I Vad II
AEK Larnaca
U
1–1
Full-time
Midtjylland
S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Larnaca Midtjylland
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,7
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%
19 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Jul -22 Midtjylland – AEK Larnaca 1–1

Match report

AEK Larnaca Midtjylland
1–0 V. Olatunji ⚽
I. Faraj
9′
12′
⚽ H. Dalsgaard 1–1
J. Andersson
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 N. Dyhr
↦ Paulinho
46′
🔁 P. Sisto
↦ E. Chilufya
59′
🟨 Raphael Onyedika
Rafael Lopes 🔁
↦ V. Olatunji
65′
O. Altman 🔁
↦ I. Faraj
65′
69′
🟨 Juninho
72′
🔁 M. Thychosen
↦ Juninho
Roberto Rosales 🟨
77′
Bruno Gama 🔁
↦ Á. Gyurcsó
83′
83′
🔁 S. Kaba
↦ G. Isaksen
84′
🔁 O. Sørensen
↦ Charles
K. Christoforou 🔁
↦ R. Rosales
88′
J. Romo 🔁
↦ I. Trichkovski
90′
Bruno Gama 🟨
100′
114′
🔁 C. Kouakou
↦ R. Onyedika
R. Mamas 🔁
↦ Rafael Lopes
118′
121′
⚽ A. Dreyer 1–2
O. Altman ❌
penalty missed
122′
123′
⚽ P. Sisto 1–3
2–3 H. Miličević ⚽
124′
125′
⚽ O. Sørensen 2–4
3–4 J. Romo ⚽
126′
127′
⚽ N. Dyhr 3–5
4–5 Bruno Gama ⚽
128′
129′
❌ S. Kaba
penalty missed
Gus Ledes ❌
penalty missed
130′
Full-time 4–5

Line-ups

AEK Larnaca

4-2-3-1
1 K. Pirić G
16 R. Rosales D
4 N. Tomović M
15 H. Miličević D
14 Ángel García D
6 Oier M
7 Gus Ledes D
11 I. Faraj M
10 I. Trichkovski M
45 Á. Gyurcsó M
19 V. Olatunji F
Bench (12)
12 Rafael Lopes
51 O. Altman
8 Bruno Gama
24 K. Christoforou
9 J. Romo
66 R. Mamas
21 N. Englezou
3 Mikel González
5 Ismael Casas
29 G. Naoum
30 H. Andreou
38 I. Toumpas

Coach: José Luis Oltra

Midtjylland

4-3-3
16 E. Ólafsson G
6 J. Andersson D
14 H. Dalsgaard M
28 E. Sviatchenko D
73 Juninho D
15 R. Onyedika M
35 Charles M
29 Paulinho D
11 G. Isaksen F
36 A. Dreyer F
18 E. Chilufya F
Bench (12)
44 N. Dyhr
7 P. Sisto
17 M. Thychosen
9 S. Kaba
24 O. Sørensen
19 C. Kouakou
53 V. Lind
55 V. Bak
4 S. Gartenmann
26 P. Ortíz
30 M. Ugboh
31 D. Ousted

Coach: B. Henriksen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Vad II · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.