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Puchar Polski

Referee: P Szypuła

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

T S

2–3

Full-time

Wisla

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Siarka Tarnobrzeg Wisla

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

5,0

Scored

3,0

1,8

Conceded

2,0

3,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olimpia Grudziądz	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Hutnik Kraków	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Stal Stalowa Wola	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Polonia Bytom	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Podbeskidzie	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Lech Poznań II	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Odra Opole	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Wigry Suwałki	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Lechia Zielona Góra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Ruch Chorzow	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	LKS Lodz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Polonia Warszawa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Kluczbork	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Warta Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Resovia Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	ŁKS Łódź II	2	1	0	1	+0	3
25	Piast Gliwice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Avia Świdnik	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Arka Gdynia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Stal Mielec	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Górnik Łęczna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Puszcza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Unia Skierniewice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Motor Lublin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Zaglebie	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Legnica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Rakow	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Barycz Sułów	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Cracovia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Radunia Stężyca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Chrobry Głogów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Unia Swarzędz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Gornik Zabrze	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Tychy 71	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Świt Skolwin	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Elana Toruń	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Pogoń Siedlce	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Kalisz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Concordia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Jastrzębie	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Podhale Nowy Targ	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Grom Nowy Staw	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Star Starachowice	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Stal Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Podbeskidzie II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Hutnik Kraków	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Stal Stalowa Wola	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Podbeskidzie	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Olimpia Grudziądz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Wigry Suwałki	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Polonia Bytom	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Kluczbork	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Resovia Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Avia Świdnik	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Górnik Łęczna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Unia Skierniewice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Legnica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Barycz Sułów	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	ŁKS Łódź II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Radunia Stężyca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Chrobry Głogów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Gornik Zabrze	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Elana Toruń	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Pogoń Siedlce	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Kalisz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Concordia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Podhale Nowy Targ	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Grom Nowy Staw	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Stal Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-3	0
34	Podbeskidzie II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lech Poznań II	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Odra Opole	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Olimpia Grudziądz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Lechia Zielona Góra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Ruch Chorzow	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	LKS Lodz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	ŁKS Łódź II	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Polonia Warszawa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Warta Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Piast Gliwice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Polonia Bytom	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Arka Gdynia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Stal Mielec	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Puszcza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Motor Lublin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Zaglebie	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Rakow	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Cracovia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Unia Swarzędz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Tychy 71	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Świt Skolwin	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Jastrzębie	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
37	Star Starachowice	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Siarka Tarnobrzeg Wisla

D. Lisowski 🟨

1′

K. Jodlowski 🟨

5′

13′

🟨 W. Biedrzycki

37′

⚽ Ángel Rodado 0–1

J. Czajkowski 🟨

40′

Half-time 0–2

47′

⚽ Ł. Zwoliński 0–2

1–2 D. Lisowski ⚽

49′

54′

🟨 A. Rodado

K. Ogorzaly 🟨

57′

🔁 Frederico Duarte

↦ Jesús Alfaro

57′

🔁 Marc Carbó

↦ J. Igbekeme

2–2 K. Iwao ⚽

68′

71′

🟨 W. Biedrzycki

71′

🟥 W. Biedrzycki

74′

🔁 M. Kutwa

↦ O. Sukiennicki

74′

🔁 T. Kiss

↦ Ángel Baena

S. Kaliniec 🔁

↦ K. Jodłowski

76′

P. Lisowski 🟨

80′

83′

🟨 M. Carbo

P. Mróz 🔁

↦ G. Ivaniadze

84′

89′

⚽ A. Uryga 2–3

S. Feret 🔁

↦ D. Lisowski

91′

🔁 K. Skrobański

↦ Ángel Rodado

E. François 🔁

↦ K. Ogorzały

92′

Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

M. Białka

K. Misztal

D. Lisowski

K. Bracik

I. Woś

K. Ogorzały

K. Jodłowski

P. Lisowski

J. Czajkowski

G. Ivaniadze

K. Iwao

Bench (9)

S. Kaliniec

P. Mróz

E. François

S. Feret

B. Sulkowski

H. Zoch

k. Marszalik

K. Prusiński

Ł. Siedlecki

Coach: Ł. Becella

Wisla

A. Chichkan

A. Uryga

B. Jaroch

W. Biedrzycki

R. Mikulec

J. Igbekeme

O. Sukiennicki

Jesús Alfaro

Ł. Zwoliński

Ángel Rodado

Ángel Baena

Bench (9)

Frederico Duarte

Marc Carbó

M. Kutwa

T. Kiss

K. Skrobański

G. Kiakós

K. Dziedzic

P. Gogół

P. Letkiewicz

Coach: M. Jop

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

25. Sep CUP 1 year ago

10. Aug CUP 3 years ago

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Wisla

Odds comparison

Recent matches