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LaLiga2
Referee: Saúl Ais
Cartagena
T T T S T
0–1
Full-time
Ferrol
U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cartagena Ferrol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
This season — LaLiga2 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 19%
25%
13%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
63%
38%
Both score Ø 51%
63%
38%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
0,9
0,6
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
7 Shots 5
1 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cartagena 20. · Ferrol 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 8 5 2 1 +5 17
2 Zaragoza 9 5 1 3 +7 16
3 Huesca 8 5 0 3 +6 15
4 Levante 8 4 3 1 +5 15
5 Burgos 8 4 2 2 +2 14
6 Castellon 8 4 1 3 +3 13
7 Sp Gijon 8 3 3 2 +3 12
8 Mirandes 8 3 3 2 +2 12
9 Eibar 8 3 3 2 +0 12
10 Oviedo 8 3 3 2 -1 12
11 Eldense 8 3 2 3 -1 11
12 Malaga 8 2 5 1 -1 11
13 Elche 8 3 1 4 +0 10
14 Granada 8 2 4 2 -1 10
15 Albacete 8 3 1 4 -2 10
16 Cordoba 8 2 3 3 -2 9
17 Almeria 8 2 3 3 -3 9
18 Cadiz 8 2 3 3 -4 9
19 La Coruna 8 2 2 4 -2 8
20 Cartagena 8 2 0 6 -6 6
21 Ferrol 8 1 3 4 -6 6
22 Tenerife 9 1 2 6 -4 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cartagena Ferrol
Jairo Izquierdo 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–0
61′
🔁 Chiki
↦ Josué Dorrio
61′
🔁 Álvaro Sanz
↦ Aitor Gelardo
61′
🔁 Manu Vallejo
↦ Álex López
Hugo González 🔁
↦ Dani Escriche
65′
Alfredo Ortuño 🔁
↦ Gastón Valles
66′
Damián Musto 🟨
69′
74′
🔁 Álvaro Giménez
↦ Eneko Jauregi
Andy Rodríguez 🔁
↦ Sergio Guerrero
78′
82′
🔁 Julián Delmás
↦ Rober Correa
Martín Aguirregabiria 🟨
87′
Ríos Reina 🔁
↦ Cedric Teguia
88′
91′
Álvaro Giménez 0–1
Naldo
93′
ℹ️ Álvaro Giménez
VAR: Goal confirmed
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Cartagena

4-3-3
30 Jhafets Christ G
19 Martín Aguirregabiria D
4 Alcalá D
22 Kiko Olivas D
20 Jairo Izquierdo D
6 Sergio Guerrero M
18 D. Musto M
8 Luis Muñoz M
10 Dani Escriche F
7 Gastón Valles F
23 Cedric Teguia F
Bench (8)
34 Hugo González
9 Alfredo Ortuño
17 Andy Rodríguez
3 Ríos Reina
2 Jorge Moreno
35 Nono
27 Carmelo Sánchez
28 Jesús Hernández

Coach: Jandro Castro

Ferrol

4-2-3-1
25 Jesús Ruiz G
3 Rober Correa D
4 A. Puric D
5 Naldo D
21 Moi Delgado D
16 Fran Manzanara M
10 Josep Señé M
17 Josué Dorrio M
8 Álex López M
14 Aitor Gelardo M
9 Eneko Jauregi F
Bench (9)
7 Chiki
6 Álvaro Sanz
19 Manu Vallejo
20 Álvaro Giménez
2 Julián Delmás
26 David Carballo
1 Emilio Bernad
15 David Castro
13 Yoel Rodríguez

Coach: Cristóbal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,50
U
2,87
B ✓
3,13
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,58
U2,5 ✓
1,48
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Saúl Ais · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.