Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Cremonese
Pescara
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Benevento
|
31 | 23 | 7 | 1 | +41 | 76 |
| 2 |
Crotone
|
31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | +14 | 52 |
| 3 |
Cittadella
|
32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | +7 | 52 |
| 4 |
Spezia
|
31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | +10 | 50 |
| 5 | Pordenone | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | +2 | 49 |
| 6 |
Frosinone
|
31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | +6 | 48 |
| 7 |
Pisa
|
32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | +4 | 46 |
| 8 |
Chievo
|
31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | +7 | 45 |
| 9 |
Salernitana
|
31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | +3 | 44 |
| 10 |
Empoli
|
31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | -2 | 42 |
| 11 |
Virtus Entella
|
31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | -3 | 41 |
| 12 |
Perugia
|
31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | -8 | 40 |
| 13 |
Venezia
|
31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | -4 | 39 |
| 14 |
Pescara
|
31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | -5 | 39 |
| 15 |
Juve Stabia
|
31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | -12 | 36 |
| 16 |
Cremonese
|
31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | -5 | 34 |
| 17 |
Ascoli
|
31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | -9 | 33 |
| 18 |
Cosenza
|
31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | -3 | 31 |
| 19 | Trapani | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | -18 | 30 |
| 20 | Livorno | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | -25 | 21 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Salernitana
Cremonese
Cremonese
Cosenza
Cremonese
Benevento
Ascoli
Cremonese
Frosinone
Cremonese
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.