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Serie B
Perugia
T S S T T
0–1
Full-time
Empoli
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Perugia Empoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
This season — Serie B · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 36%
38%
33%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
50%
42%
Both score Ø 55%
46%
63%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

15 Shots 8
1 Shots on target 3
8 Corners 4
23 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Perugia 11. · Empoli 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benevento 25 18 6 1 +32 60
2 Frosinone 25 12 7 6 +11 43
3 Spezia 25 11 8 6 +10 41
4 Crotone 25 12 4 9 +10 40
5 Salernitana 25 11 6 8 +4 39
6 Cittadella 25 11 6 8 +4 39
7 Chievo 25 9 10 6 +6 37
8 Pordenone 25 10 6 9 -1 36
9 Virtus Entella 25 9 8 8 +0 35
10 Empoli 24 8 9 7 -2 33
11 Perugia 24 9 6 9 -5 33
12 Pescara 25 9 5 11 -1 32
13 Juve Stabia 25 9 5 11 -9 32
14 Ascoli 24 9 4 11 -1 31
15 Venezia 25 7 10 8 -3 31
16 Pisa 25 7 9 9 -1 30
17 Cremonese 24 6 8 10 -5 26
18 Cosenza 25 5 8 12 -3 23
19 Trapani 25 4 8 13 -24 20
20 Livorno 25 3 5 17 -22 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Sep -19 Empoli – Perugia 3–0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,37
U
2,97
B ✓
3,17
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,97
U2,5 ✓
1,80
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.