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Serie A

Referee: M Marcenaro

Inter

S U S S T

6–2

Full-time

Pisa

T U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Pisa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 41%

76%

Points per game

2,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

57%

38%

Both score Ø 43%

43%

Average goals

2,9

2,2

Scored

2,1

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–2

5,07 xG 0,34

66% Possession 34%

34 Shots 8

14 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Inter 1. · Pisa 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Inter	21	16	1	4	+27	+22.1	49
2	Milan	21	13	7	1	+18	+12.1	46
3	Napoli	21	13	4	4	+14	+8.7	43
4	Roma	21	14	0	7	+14	+3.9	42
5	Juventus	21	11	6	4	+15	+18.7	39
6	Como	21	10	7	4	+15	+9.3	37
7	Atalanta	21	8	8	5	+6	+9.7	32
8	Bologna	21	8	6	7	+6	-0.2	30
9	Lazio	21	7	7	7	+2	-6.4	28
10	Udinese	21	7	5	9	-11	-5.6	26
11	Sassuolo	21	6	5	10	-5	-9.6	23
12	Cremonese	21	5	8	8	-8	-12.5	23
13	Parma	21	5	8	8	-8	-8.1	23
14	Torino	21	6	5	10	-13	-6.0	23
15	Cagliari	21	5	7	9	-8	-12.3	22
16	Genoa	21	4	8	9	-7	+0.0	20
17	Fiorentina	21	3	8	10	-9	+2.2	17
18	Lecce	21	4	5	12	-16	-14.8	17
19	Pisa	21	1	11	9	-15	-7.0	14
20	Verona	21	2	8	11	-17	-4.2	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Inter	11	8	1	2	+19	+14.0	25
2	Napoli	10	7	3	0	+9	+1.9	24
3	Milan	11	7	3	1	+8	+10.3	24
4	Juventus	10	6	4	0	+12	+12.3	22
5	Roma	10	7	0	3	+8	+4.4	21
6	Como	10	5	4	1	+7	+5.3	19
7	Atalanta	11	5	4	2	+5	+9.6	19
8	Lazio	11	4	4	3	+3	-0.2	16
9	Bologna	10	4	2	4	+2	+3.6	14
10	Udinese	11	3	4	4	-5	+0.5	13
11	Cagliari	10	3	3	4	-2	-5.8	12
12	Cremonese	10	2	5	3	-2	-1.4	11
13	Sassuolo	10	3	2	5	-3	-5.8	11
14	Torino	11	3	2	6	-9	-5.8	11
15	Genoa	11	2	4	5	-4	+0.6	10
16	Parma	11	2	4	5	-6	-5.8	10
17	Fiorentina	10	2	3	5	-1	+4.5	9
18	Lecce	11	2	3	6	-8	-2.5	9
19	Pisa	11	1	4	6	-9	-2.4	7
20	Verona	10	1	3	6	-6	-0.4	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Inter	10	8	0	2	+8	+8.1	24
2	Milan	10	6	4	0	+10	+1.8	22
3	Roma	11	7	0	4	+6	-0.5	21
4	Napoli	11	6	1	4	+5	+6.8	19
5	Como	11	5	3	3	+8	+3.9	18
6	Juventus	11	5	2	4	+3	+6.4	17
7	Bologna	11	4	4	3	+4	-3.8	16
8	Atalanta	10	3	4	3	+1	+0.1	13
9	Parma	10	3	4	3	-2	-2.3	13
10	Udinese	10	4	1	5	-6	-6.2	13
11	Lazio	10	3	3	4	-1	-6.2	12
12	Sassuolo	11	3	3	5	-2	-3.8	12
13	Torino	10	3	3	4	-4	-0.2	12
14	Cremonese	11	3	3	5	-6	-11.1	12
15	Genoa	10	2	4	4	-3	-0.5	10
16	Cagliari	11	2	4	5	-6	-6.5	10
17	Fiorentina	11	1	5	5	-8	-2.3	8
18	Lecce	10	2	2	6	-8	-12.4	8
19	Verona	11	1	5	5	-11	-3.8	8
20	Pisa	10	0	7	3	-6	-4.6	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.