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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Gryckiewicz
1–1
Full-time
GKS Katowice
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Radomiak Radom GKS Katowice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,7
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 16/17 matches
Win Ø 33%
31%
35%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
56%
59%
Both score Ø 52%
56%
47%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,75 xG 1,46
54% Possession 46%
21 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 15
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Radomiak Radom 16. · GKS Katowice 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 17 12 2 3 +20 +10.1 38
2 Rakow 17 10 5 2 +14 +9.8 35
3 Jagiellonia 17 10 4 3 +7 -0.9 34
4 Cracovia 17 9 3 5 +8 +0.0 30
5 Legia 17 8 5 4 +10 +8.6 29
6 Gornik Zabrze 17 8 3 6 +5 +5.3 27
7 Motor Lublin 17 8 3 6 -3 -1.0 27
8 Pogon Szczecin 17 8 2 7 +4 +6.6 26
9 GKS Katowice 17 6 4 7 +2 +0.5 22
10 Widzew Lodz 17 6 4 7 -2 -1.9 22
11 Piast Gliwice 17 5 6 6 +0 -3.2 21
12 Stal Mielec 17 5 4 8 -4 +4.5 19
13 Zaglebie 17 5 4 8 -8 -5.0 19
14 Puszcza 17 4 5 8 -9 -11.2 17
15 Korona Kielce 17 4 5 8 -12 -2.4 17
16 Radomiak Radom 16 5 1 10 -4 -1.8 16
17 Lechia Gdansk 17 2 5 10 -16 -16.2 11
18 Slask Wroclaw 16 1 7 8 -12 -2.0 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Radomiak Radom GKS Katowice
20′
S. Bergier 0–1
Half-time 1–1
1–1 Leonardo Rocha
R. Wolski
49′
Paulo Henrique 🟨
50′
Zié Ouattara 🟨
53′
56′
🟨 Marcin Wasielewski
Raphael Rossi 🟨
57′
59′
🟨 Oskar Repka
Peglow 🔁
↦ Vagner
68′
68′
🔁 M. Marzec
↦ S. Milewski
74′
🔁 J. Arak
↦ S. Bergier
74′
🔁 M. Mak
↦ A. Błąd
Christos Donis 🟨
81′
M. Kaput 🔁
↦ R. Alves
84′
87′
🟨 Mateusz Mak
Guilherme Zimovski 🔁
↦ J. Grzesik
87′
87′
🔁 B. Baranowicz
↦ M. Kowalczyk
Rafał Wolski 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Radomiak Radom

4-1-4-1
1 M. Kikolski G
24 Z. Ouattara D
29 Raphael Rossi D
8 Luizão D
23 Paulo Henrique D
77 C. Donis M
13 J. Grzesik M
10 R. Alves M
27 R. Wolski M
70 Vagner M
17 Leonardo Rocha F
Bench (9)
7 Peglow
28 M. Kaput
99 Guilherme Zimovski
44 W. Koptas
14 D. Jakubik
88 Chico Ramos
5 D. Pawłowski
20 R. Cielemęcki
3 Wu Shaocong

Coach: Bruno Baltazar

GKS Katowice

3-4-3
1 D. Kudła G
30 A. Czerwiński D
4 A. Jędrych D
2 M. Kuusk D
23 M. Wasielewski M
5 O. Repka M
22 S. Milewski M
8 Borja Galán M
11 A. Błąd F
7 S. Bergier F
77 M. Kowalczyk F
Bench (9)
17 M. Marzec
18 J. Arak
10 M. Mak
21 B. Baranowicz
6 L. Klemenz
28 A. Bród
13 B. Jaroszek
14 A. Komor
32 R. Strączek

Coach: R. Górak

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Gryckiewicz · 55 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.