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Allsvenskan
Referee: M Al Hakim
Goteborg
S S S U T
1–2
Full-time
Kalmar
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Goteborg Kalmar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — Allsvenskan · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
60%
40%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
20%
40%
Both score Ø 30%
40%
20%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
0,6
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
19 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Goteborg 8. · Kalmar 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hammarby 5 5 0 0 +11 15
2 Mjallby 6 4 1 1 +5 13
3 AIK 6 4 0 2 +0 12
4 Malmo FF 5 3 2 0 +5 11
5 Hacken 6 3 2 1 +3 11
6 Elfsborg 6 3 1 2 +8 10
7 Djurgarden 6 3 1 2 +5 10
8 Goteborg 5 3 1 1 +3 10
9 Varberg 6 2 1 3 -3 7
10 Sirius 6 2 1 3 -8 7
11 Kalmar 5 2 0 3 +2 6
12 Varnamo 5 1 2 2 -2 5
13 Norrkoping 5 1 1 3 -2 4
14 Helsingborg 6 1 1 4 -3 4
15 Sundsvall 6 1 0 5 -10 3
16 Degerfors 6 0 0 6 -14 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Goteborg Kalmar
1–0 O. Vilhelmsson
T. Sana
34′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 N. Shamoun
↦ S. Skrabb
47′
🟨 Douglas Bergqvist
49′
C. Gustafsson 1–1
O. Berg
66′
🔁 L. Sætra
↦ R. Sjöstedt
68′
🟨 Nahom Girmai
82′
🔁 J. Stenmark
↦ A. Lindahl
87′
Romário 1–2
K. Yakob 🔁
↦ Hosam Aiesh
88′
Amir Al Ammari 🔁
↦ S. Thern
88′
G. Norlin 🔁
↦ O. Vilhelmsson
88′
Mattias Bjärsmyr 🟨
89′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Goteborg

4-4-2
1 W. Hahn G
17 O. Wendt D
30 M. Bjärsmyr D
4 C. Johansson D
5 A. Jallow D
13 G. Svensson M
22 T. Sana M
21 S. Thern M
8 Hosam Aiesh M
9 M. Berg F
29 O. Vilhelmsson F
Bench (7)
23 K. Yakob
6 Amir Al Ammari
14 G. Norlin
12 A. Benediktsson
20 J. Bångsbo
19 H. Carneil
2 E. Salomonsson

Coach: M. Stahre

Kalmar

3-4-3
1 Ricardo Friedrich G
5 D. Bergqvist D
6 R. Sjöstedt D
3 D. Ólafsson D
2 A. Lindahl M
29 Romário M
11 S. Skrabb F
20 O. Berg F
22 N. Girmai F
9 I. Jansson M
17 C. Gustafsson M
Bench (7)
14 N. Shamoun
39 L. Sætra
23 J. Stenmark
26 V. Backman
7 K. Jensen
4 E. Israelsson
30 J. Kindberg

Coach: H. Rydström

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Al Hakim · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.