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2. Bundesliga
Referee: Tom Bauer
3–3
Full-time
Hertha
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Greuther Furth Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
2,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 40%
27%
53%
Points per game
0,9
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
80%
33%
Both score Ø 40%
60%
20%
Average goals
4,1
1,9
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
2,6
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

2,43 xG 1,62
50% Possession 50%
14 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Greuther Furth 16. · Hertha 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Schalke 04 15 11 1 3 +12 +4.3 34
2 Elversberg 15 9 3 3 +15 -0.8 30
3 Darmstadt 15 8 5 2 +11 +8.6 29
4 Paderborn 15 9 2 4 +6 +1.1 29
5 Hannover 15 8 4 3 +9 +1.6 28
6 Kaiserslautern 15 8 2 5 +9 +2.7 26
7 Hertha 15 8 2 5 +5 -0.8 26
8 Karlsruhe 15 6 3 6 -4 -10.3 21
9 Bochum 15 6 1 8 +1 +6.8 19
10 Preußen Münster 15 5 4 6 -3 -0.7 19
11 Nurnberg 15 5 4 6 -4 +0.0 19
12 Bielefeld 15 5 2 8 +3 -0.4 17
13 Holstein Kiel 15 4 4 7 -3 -5.7 16
14 Braunschweig 15 4 2 9 -11 +3.3 14
15 Fortuna Dusseldorf 15 4 2 9 -12 -6.3 14
16 Greuther Furth 15 4 2 9 -17 -4.3 14
17 Dresden 15 3 4 8 -8 -1.1 13
18 Magdeburg 15 4 1 10 -9 +2.0 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,67
U ✓
3,64
B
1,88
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,65
U2,5
2,11
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.