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2. Bundesliga
Referee: R Kampka
Paderborn
T U U S S
2–4
Full-time
Schalke 04
T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 36%
50%
21%
Points per game
1,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
71%
71%
Both score Ø 68%
71%
64%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
1,8
1,6
Conceded
1,2
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

46% Possession 54%
5 Shots 25
4 Shots on target 10
0 Blocked shots 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 9
3 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paderborn 1. · Schalke 04 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paderborn 14 7 6 1 +8 27
2 Hamburg 14 6 5 3 +11 23
3 Kaiserslautern 14 6 5 3 +6 23
4 Hannover 14 7 2 5 +5 23
5 Karlsruhe 14 6 5 3 +2 23
6 Elversberg 14 6 4 4 +8 22
7 FC Koln 14 6 4 4 +5 22
8 Fortuna Dusseldorf 14 6 4 4 +3 22
9 Hertha 14 6 3 5 +2 21
10 Magdeburg 14 5 6 3 +2 21
11 Darmstadt 14 5 5 4 +4 20
12 Nurnberg 14 5 4 5 +3 19
13 Greuther Furth 14 3 5 6 -6 14
14 Schalke 04 14 3 4 7 -6 13
15 Braunschweig 14 3 4 7 -11 13
16 Ulm 14 2 6 6 -3 12
17 Preußen Münster 14 2 6 6 -5 12
18 Regensburg 14 2 2 10 -28 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paderborn Schalke 04
-5′
🟨 Ron-Thorben Hoffmann
1–0 K. Kostons
F. Götze
11′
23′
M. Sylla 1–1
25′
🟨 Janik Bachmann
43′
K. Karaman 1–2
D. Murkin
Half-time 1–2
S. Klaas 🔁
↦ M. Baur
46′
2–2 F. Götze
A. Zehnter
52′
58′
🟨 Amin Younes
59′
🔁 C. Antwi-Adjei
↦ A. Younes
69′
K. Karaman 2–3
P. Seguin
L. Engelns 🔁
↦ I. Ansah
75′
F. Platte 🔁
↦ K. Kostons
75′
Sebastian Klaas 🟨
76′
83′
🔁 T. Kalas
↦ M. Sylla
A. Sanchez 🔁
↦ L. Curda
84′
86′
🔁 M. Grüger
↦ R. Schallenberg
88′
J. Bachmann 2–4
P. Seguin
T. Scheller 🔁
↦ S. Castañeda
89′
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Paderborn

3-4-2-1
30 M. Schubert G
17 L. Curda D
20 F. Götze D
4 C. Brackelmann D
23 R. Obermair M
7 F. Bilbija M
5 S. Castañeda M
32 A. Zehnter M
10 K. Kostons F
9 M. Baur F
29 I. Ansah F
Bench (9)
26 S. Klaas
46 L. Engelns
36 F. Platte
42 A. Sanchez
25 T. Scheller
33 M. Hoffmeier
19 L. Herrmann
8 D. Kinsombi
1 P. Boevink

Coach: L. Kwasniok

Schalke 04

4-2-3-1
28 J. Heekeren G
31 T. Bulut D
6 R. Schallenberg D
35 M. Kamiński D
5 D. Murkin D
7 P. Seguin M
14 J. Bachmann M
23 M. Aydın M
19 K. Karaman M
8 A. Younes M
9 M. Sylla F
Bench (9)
18 C. Antwi-Adjei
26 T. Kalas
37 M. Grüger
17 A. Gantenbein
15 E. Højlund
2 F. Sánchez
24 I. Hamache
30 A. Donkor
1 R. Hoffmann

Coach: K. van Wonderen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,70
U
3,89
B ✓
4,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,66
U2,5
2,19
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Kampka · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.