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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Lechner
Magdeburg
T U T S T
1–1
Full-time
Holstein Kiel
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Magdeburg Holstein Kiel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 45%
32%
58%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
47%
63%
Both score Ø 66%
68%
63%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,6
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

68% Possession 32%
21 Shots 8
9 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
12 Corners 4
1 Offside 4
7 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Magdeburg 13. · Holstein Kiel 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 19 10 9 0 +19 39
2 Greuther Furth 19 10 5 4 +9 35
3 Holstein Kiel 19 11 2 6 +8 35
4 Hamburg 19 10 4 5 +12 34
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 19 9 4 6 +15 31
6 Hannover 19 7 7 5 +10 28
7 Paderborn 19 8 4 7 -1 28
8 Karlsruhe 19 7 6 6 +2 27
9 Nurnberg 19 8 3 8 -9 27
10 Hertha 19 7 5 7 +5 26
11 Wehen 19 7 4 8 -2 25
12 Elversberg 19 7 4 8 -4 25
13 Magdeburg 19 6 5 8 +2 23
14 Kaiserslautern 19 6 3 10 -7 21
15 Schalke 04 19 6 2 11 -9 20
16 Braunschweig 19 6 2 11 -13 20
17 Hansa Rostock 19 6 2 11 -13 20
18 Osnabruck 19 1 7 11 -24 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Magdeburg Holstein Kiel
18′
🟨 Lewis Holtby
Tobias Müller 🟨
25′
27′
T. Becker 0–1
Jean Hugonet 🟨
29′
Half-time 0–1
C. Krempicki 🔁
↦ T. Müller
46′
A. Nollenberger 🔁
↦ J. Çeka
46′
46′
🔁 F. Porath
↦ L. Holtby
Alexander Nollenberger ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
54′
L. Schuler 🔁
↦ L. Castaignos
60′
66′
🔁 M. Schulz
↦ S. Skrzybski
T. Ito 🔁
↦ S. Gnaka
75′
75′
🔁 H. Friðjónsson
↦ S. Machino
75′
🔁 J. Sterner
↦ J. Mees
82′
🔁 M. Kirkeskov
↦ M. Komenda
83′
🟨 Timon Weiner
91′
🟨 Nicolai Remberg
E. Kuhinja 🔁
↦ J. Hugonet
94′
1–1 E. Kuhinja
95′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Magdeburg

3-4-3
1 D. Reimann G
21 T. Müller D
3 A. Hoti D
15 D. Heber D
20 X. Amaechi M
25 S. Gnaka M
24 J. Hugonet M
11 M. El Hankouri M
10 J. Çeka F
9 L. Castaignos F
23 B. Atik F
Bench (9)
13 C. Krempicki
17 A. Nollenberger
26 L. Schuler
37 T. Ito
18 E. Kuhinja
34 T. Chahed
29 A. Condé
5 J. Lawrence
30 N. Kruth

Coach: C. Titz

Holstein Kiel

3-5-2
1 T. Weiner G
4 P. Erras D
34 C. Kleine-Bekel D
3 M. Komenda D
17 T. Becker M
10 L. Holtby M
6 M. Ivezić M
7 S. Skrzybski M
22 N. Remberg M
27 J. Mees F
13 S. Machino F
Bench (9)
8 F. Porath
15 M. Schulz
19 H. Friðjónsson
32 J. Sterner
2 M. Kirkeskov
23 L. Rosenboom
21 T. Dähne
29 N. Niehoff
31 M. Engelhardt

Coach: M. Rapp

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,50
U ✓
3,67
B
2,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,52
U2,5 ✓
2,48
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Lechner · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.