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2. Bundesliga

Referee: T Gerach

Paderborn

S T T S U

3–1

Full-time

Schalke 04

T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Schalke 04

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

2,3

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 29%

29%

Points per game

1,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

71%

57%

Both score Ø 72%

86%

57%

Average goals

3,0

3,9

Scored

1,1

1,7

Conceded

1,9

2,1

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%

11 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 10

5 Offside 4

10 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paderborn 15. · Schalke 04 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	4	2	1	+9	14
2	St Pauli	7	3	4	0	+7	13
3	Hamburg	7	4	1	2	+6	13
4	Kaiserslautern	7	4	1	2	+2	13
5	Hannover	7	3	3	1	+9	12
6	Magdeburg	7	3	3	1	+4	12
7	Holstein Kiel	7	4	0	3	-2	12
8	Elversberg	7	3	1	3	-3	10
9	Hertha	7	3	0	4	+2	9
10	Nurnberg	7	2	3	2	-2	9
11	Hansa Rostock	7	3	0	4	-3	9
12	Karlsruhe	7	2	2	3	-1	8
13	Greuther Furth	7	2	2	3	-2	8
14	Wehen	7	2	2	3	-2	8
15	Paderborn	7	2	2	3	-5	8
16	Schalke 04	7	2	1	4	-3	7
17	Braunschweig	7	1	2	4	-6	5
18	Osnabruck	7	1	1	5	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Kaiserslautern	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	St Pauli	4	2	2	0	+6	8
4	Greuther Furth	4	2	1	1	+4	7
5	Magdeburg	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Hertha	3	2	0	1	+7	6
8	Schalke 04	3	2	0	1	+2	6
9	Hansa Rostock	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Holstein Kiel	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Karlsruhe	3	1	2	0	+2	5
12	Nurnberg	3	1	2	0	+1	5
13	Braunschweig	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Wehen	4	1	2	1	-1	5
15	Hannover	3	1	1	1	+6	4
16	Paderborn	3	1	1	1	+0	4
17	Osnabruck	4	1	0	3	-2	3
18	Elversberg	3	1	0	2	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	4	2	2	0	+3	8
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	2	1	0	+7	7
3	Elversberg	4	2	1	1	+2	7
4	Holstein Kiel	3	2	0	1	-1	6
5	Magdeburg	4	1	2	1	+1	5
6	St Pauli	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Hamburg	4	1	1	2	-1	4
8	Kaiserslautern	3	1	1	1	-2	4
9	Nurnberg	4	1	1	2	-3	4
10	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	-5	4
11	Wehen	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Karlsruhe	4	1	0	3	-3	3
13	Hansa Rostock	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Hertha	4	1	0	3	-5	3
15	Schalke 04	4	0	1	3	-5	1
16	Greuther Furth	3	0	1	2	-6	1
17	Osnabruck	3	0	1	2	-8	1
18	Braunschweig	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.