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Championship
Referee: S Barrott
0–3
Full-time
Sunderland
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield Weds Sunderland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
0,5
2,2
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
63%
Average goals
2,4
2,9
Scored
0,6
1,9
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

0,52 xG 1,57
32% Possession 68%
8 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 5
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sheffield Weds 24. · Sunderland 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leicester 8 7 0 1 +9 +6.9 21
2 Ipswich 8 7 0 1 +7 +5.5 21
3 Preston 8 6 2 0 +7 +0.6 20
4 Hull 8 4 3 1 +5 -2.1 15
5 Sunderland 8 4 1 3 +7 +3.4 13
6 Leeds 8 3 4 1 +6 +4.7 13
7 Cardiff 8 4 1 3 +2 +2.0 13
8 Norwich 8 4 1 3 +1 +1.8 13
9 Bristol City 8 3 3 2 +2 +2.4 12
10 Birmingham 8 3 3 2 +1 +4.5 12
11 Millwall 8 3 2 3 -1 -5.0 11
12 Plymouth 8 3 1 4 +3 -1.9 10
13 West Brom 8 2 4 2 +1 -3.6 10
14 Blackburn 8 3 1 4 -4 -0.3 10
15 Southampton 8 3 1 4 -7 -2.1 10
16 Watford 8 2 3 3 +1 +0.2 9
17 Huddersfield 8 2 3 3 -4 -4.5 9
18 Coventry 8 1 5 2 +1 +2.1 8
19 QPR 8 2 2 4 -5 -5.4 8
20 Stoke 8 2 1 5 -4 +2.2 7
21 Swansea 8 1 3 4 -2 -0.1 6
22 Middlesbrough 8 1 2 5 -8 +3.8 5
23 Rotherham 8 1 2 5 -9 -9.9 5
24 Sheffield Weds 8 0 2 6 -9 -5.4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield Weds Sunderland
5′
D. Ballard 0–1
A. Pritchard
8′
J. Clarke 0–2
M. Burstow
31′
J. Clarke 0–3
Half-time 0–3
Bambo Diaby 🟨
62′
67′
🔁 A. Ba
↦ P. Roberts
67′
🔁 A. Aouchiche
↦ A. Pritchard
D. Gassama 🔁
↦ J. Buckley
73′
J. Delgado 🔁
↦ Pol Valentín
73′
76′
🔁 C. Rigg
↦ J. Clarke
77′
🔁 N. Rusyn
↦ M. Burstow
A. Fletcher 🔁
↦ L. Gregory
79′
L. Palmer 🔁
↦ Bambo Diaby
79′
Juan Delgado 🟨
83′
86′
🔁 J. Seelt
↦ T. Hume
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Sheffield Weds

3-4-3
36 D. Vásquez G
17 D. Bernard D
5 Bambo Diaby D
23 A. Famewo D
14 Pol Valentín M
22 J. Hendrick M
8 G. Byers M
13 C. Paterson M
45 A. Musaba F
9 L. Gregory F
21 J. Buckley F
Bench (9)
41 D. Gassama
15 J. Delgado
27 A. Fletcher
2 L. Palmer
19 T. Bakinson
4 W. Vaulks
6 D. Iorfa
24 M. Smith
1 C. Dawson

Coach: Xisco Muñoz

Sunderland

4-1-4-1
1 A. Patterson G
32 T. Hume D
13 L. O'Nien D
5 D. Ballard D
2 N. Huggins D
24 D. Neil M
10 P. Roberts M
7 J. Bellingham M
21 A. Pritchard M
20 J. Clarke M
11 M. Burstow F
Bench (9)
17 A. Ba
22 A. Aouchiche
31 C. Rigg
15 N. Rusyn
23 J. Seelt
25 N. Triantis
30 N. Bishop
9 Luís Semedo
18 E. Taylor

Coach: T. Mowbray

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,11
U
3,42
B ✓
2,28
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,91
U2,5
1,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Barrott · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.