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2. Bundesliga

Nurnberg

T U T T U

2–0

Full-time

Dresden

S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Dresden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

0,8

Conceded

2,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-1,0

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 18%

18%

Points per game

0,9

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

59%

Both score Ø 62%

65%

59%

Average goals

3,4

2,9

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

15 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 2

7 Corners 5

12 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nurnberg 16. · Dresden 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	17	9	7	1	+17	34
2	Hamburg	17	8	6	3	+17	30
3	Stuttgart	17	9	3	5	+6	30
4	Heidenheim	17	7	6	4	+7	27
5	Osnabruck	17	7	5	5	+8	26
6	Erzgebirge Aue	17	7	5	5	+1	26
7	Greuther Furth	17	7	4	6	+3	25
8	Regensburg	17	6	5	6	+3	23
9	Sandhausen	17	5	8	4	+1	23
10	Holstein Kiel	17	6	4	7	-1	22
11	Bochum	17	4	8	5	-1	20
12	Darmstadt	17	4	8	5	-5	20
13	Karlsruhe	17	4	8	5	-6	20
14	Hannover	17	5	5	7	-8	20
15	St Pauli	17	4	6	7	-2	18
16	Nurnberg	17	3	7	7	-10	16
17	Wehen	17	3	5	9	-15	14
18	Dresden	17	3	4	10	-15	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	9	7	0	2	+10	21
2	Erzgebirge Aue	8	6	2	0	+9	20
3	Hamburg	8	6	1	1	+14	19
4	Osnabruck	9	5	2	2	+9	17
5	Heidenheim	9	5	2	2	+7	17
6	Sandhausen	9	4	4	1	+3	16
7	Greuther Furth	8	5	1	2	+3	16
8	Bochum	9	3	6	0	+5	15
9	Regensburg	8	4	2	2	+3	14
10	St Pauli	9	4	2	3	+3	14
11	Karlsruhe	8	3	3	2	+0	12
12	Bielefeld	8	2	5	1	+2	11
13	Darmstadt	8	2	5	1	+1	11
14	Dresden	9	3	2	4	-2	11
15	Holstein Kiel	8	2	3	3	-2	9
16	Nurnberg	9	1	5	3	-9	8
17	Hannover	8	1	4	3	-6	7
18	Wehen	9	1	3	5	-13	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	9	7	2	0	+15	23
2	Holstein Kiel	9	4	1	4	+1	13
3	Hannover	9	4	1	4	-2	13
4	Hamburg	9	2	5	2	+3	11
5	Heidenheim	8	2	4	2	+0	10
6	Greuther Furth	9	2	3	4	+0	9
7	Regensburg	9	2	3	4	+0	9
8	Osnabruck	8	2	3	3	-1	9
9	Stuttgart	8	2	3	3	-4	9
10	Darmstadt	9	2	3	4	-6	9
11	Nurnberg	8	2	2	4	-1	8
12	Wehen	8	2	2	4	-2	8
13	Karlsruhe	9	1	5	3	-6	8
14	Sandhausen	8	1	4	3	-2	7
15	Erzgebirge Aue	9	1	3	5	-8	6
16	Bochum	8	1	2	5	-6	5
17	St Pauli	8	0	4	4	-5	4
18	Dresden	8	0	2	6	-13	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.