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Championship

Referee: Chris Kavanagh

Brentford

S S S T S

2–0

Full-time

Swansea

U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brentford Swansea

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,2

This season — Championship · 45/45 matches

Win Ø 50%

51%

49%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

47%

31%

Both score Ø 47%

53%

40%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

43% Possession 57%

7 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 9

0 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 20

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brentford 3. · Swansea 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	46	29	10	7	+39	97
2	Watford	46	27	10	9	+33	91
3	Brentford	45	23	14	8	+36	83
4	Bournemouth	46	23	11	12	+28	80
5	Barnsley	46	23	10	13	+11	79
6	Swansea	45	22	11	12	+14	77
7	Reading	46	19	13	14	+8	70
8	Cardiff	46	18	14	14	+17	68
9	QPR	46	19	11	16	+2	68
10	Middlesbrough	46	18	10	18	+2	64
11	Millwall	46	15	17	14	-5	62
12	Luton	46	17	11	18	-11	62
13	Preston	46	18	7	21	-7	61
14	Stoke	46	15	15	16	-2	60
15	Blackburn	46	15	12	19	+11	57
16	Coventry	46	14	13	19	-12	55
17	Nott'm Forest	46	12	16	18	-8	52
18	Birmingham	46	13	13	20	-24	52
19	Bristol City	46	15	6	25	-22	51
20	Huddersfield	46	12	13	21	-21	49
21	Sheffield Weds	46	12	11	23	-21	47
22	Derby	46	11	11	24	-22	44
23	Wycombe	46	11	10	25	-30	43
24	Rotherham	46	11	9	26	-16	42

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Watford	23	19	2	2	+32	59
2	Norwich	23	14	6	3	+24	48
3	Bournemouth	23	14	3	6	+18	45
4	Brentford	22	12	8	2	+20	44
5	Barnsley	23	12	6	5	+9	42
6	Reading	23	12	4	7	+10	40
7	Swansea	23	11	7	5	+9	40
8	Coventry	23	10	7	6	+8	37
9	QPR	23	11	4	8	+5	37
10	Middlesbrough	23	11	4	8	+5	37
11	Blackburn	23	9	7	7	+9	34
12	Luton	23	8	9	6	+2	33
13	Sheffield Weds	23	8	8	7	+5	32
14	Stoke	23	9	5	9	+1	32
15	Huddersfield	23	8	7	8	+5	31
16	Millwall	23	7	10	6	+0	31
17	Cardiff	23	8	6	9	+11	30
18	Nott'm Forest	23	6	8	9	-3	26
19	Preston	23	7	5	11	-3	26
20	Wycombe	23	7	5	11	-11	26
21	Derby	23	6	7	10	-6	25
22	Bristol City	23	7	3	13	-12	24
23	Birmingham	23	6	4	13	-19	22
24	Rotherham	23	5	4	14	-9	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	23	15	4	4	+15	49
2	Brentford	23	11	6	6	+16	39
3	Cardiff	23	10	8	5	+6	38
4	Swansea	22	11	4	7	+5	37
5	Barnsley	23	11	4	8	+2	37
6	Bournemouth	23	9	8	6	+10	35
7	Preston	23	11	2	10	-4	35
8	Watford	23	8	8	7	+1	32
9	QPR	23	8	7	8	-3	31
10	Millwall	23	8	7	8	-5	31
11	Reading	23	7	9	7	-2	30
12	Birmingham	23	7	9	7	-5	30
13	Luton	23	9	2	12	-13	29
14	Stoke	23	6	10	7	-3	28
15	Middlesbrough	23	7	6	10	-3	27
16	Bristol City	23	8	3	12	-10	27
17	Nott'm Forest	23	6	8	9	-5	26
18	Blackburn	23	6	5	12	+2	23
19	Rotherham	23	6	5	12	-7	23
20	Derby	23	5	4	14	-16	19
21	Coventry	23	4	6	13	-20	18
22	Huddersfield	23	4	6	13	-26	18
23	Wycombe	23	4	5	14	-19	17
24	Sheffield Weds	23	4	3	16	-26	15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.