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Championship
Referee: J Gillett
1–3
Full-time
Bournemouth
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Coventry Bournemouth
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Championship · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

37% Possession 63%
5 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 10
0 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Coventry 12. · Bournemouth 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Reading 3 3 0 0 +5 9
2 Bristol City 3 3 0 0 +5 9
3 Swansea 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Bournemouth 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 Watford 3 2 1 0 +2 7
6 Blackburn 3 2 0 1 +8 6
7 Luton 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Birmingham 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Millwall 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Brentford 3 1 1 1 +2 4
11 QPR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
12 Coventry 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Norwich 3 1 1 1 +0 4
14 Rotherham 3 1 1 1 +0 4
15 Sheffield Weds 3 1 1 1 +0 4
16 Stoke 3 1 1 1 -1 4
17 Cardiff 3 1 0 2 -1 3
18 Huddersfield 3 1 0 2 -3 3
19 Middlesbrough 3 0 2 1 -1 2
20 Preston 3 0 1 2 -2 1
21 Barnsley 3 0 1 2 -3 1
22 Nott'm Forest 3 0 0 3 -5 0
23 Derby 3 0 0 3 -7 0
24 Wycombe 3 0 0 3 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Coventry Bournemouth
7′
J. Lerma 0–1
D. Solanke
Leo Østigård 🟨
24′
1–1 M. Godden
39′
Half-time 1–1
M. Rose 🔁
↦ L. Oestigaard
46′
J. Allen 🔁
↦ J. Shipley
46′
51′
D. Gosling 1–2
60′
D. Gosling 1–3
Diego Rico
68′
🟨 Adam Smith
Gustavo Hamer 🟥
69′
69′
🟨 Steve Cook
73′
🟨 Dan Gosling
77′
🔁 P. Billing
↦ L. Cook
84′
🔁 J. Simpson
↦ Diego Rico
S. McCallum 🔁
↦ R. Giles
87′
90′
🔁 N. Ofoborh
↦ D. Gosling
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Coventry

3-4-2-1
1 M. Maroši G
5 K. McFadzean D
23 F. Dabo M
15 D. Hyam D
2 L. Oestigaard D
14 B. Sheaf M
18 R. Giles M
11 C. O'Hare F
38 G. Hamer M
26 J. Shipley F
24 M. Godden F
Bench (7)
4 M. Rose
8 J. Allen
21 S. McCallum
31 T. Billson
6 L. Kelly
19 T. Walker
20 A. Bakayoko

Coach: M. Robins

Bournemouth

5-3-2
1 A. Begović G
15 A. Smith D
3 S. Cook D
21 Diego Rico D
17 J. Stacey D
6 C. Mepham D
4 D. Gosling M
8 J. Lerma M
16 L. Cook M
9 D. Solanke F
14 S. Surridge F
Bench (6)
29 P. Billing
25 J. Simpson
24 N. Ofoborh
23 M. Travers
32 J. Anthony
7 D. Brooks

Coach: J. Tindall

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,60
U
3,32
B ✓
2,11
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,05
U2,5
1,77
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Gillett · 178 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.