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Eliteserien

Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen

Molde

S T T T S

0–1

Full-time

Viking

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Viking

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

1,5

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,5

4,0

Scored

2,3

3,3

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+2,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 9/11 matches

Win Ø 53%

33%

73%

Points per game

1,2

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

82%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

82%

Average goals

2,4

4,5

Scored

1,2

3,0

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,24 xG 1,54

68% Possession 32%

10 Shots 15

0 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

7 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Molde 11. · Viking 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	11	8	2	1	+17	+12.4	26
2	Brann	11	7	2	2	+5	+11.3	23
3	Rosenborg	11	6	4	1	+6	+6.7	22
4	Fredrikstad	10	5	2	3	+5	-2.9	17
5	Bodo/Glimt	8	5	1	2	+12	+6.8	16
6	Tromso	9	5	1	3	+2	+1.6	16
7	Sandefjord	9	5	0	4	+1	+0.5	15
8	Sarpsborg 08	9	3	4	2	+6	+5.2	13
9	Kristiansund	11	4	1	6	-5	-5.9	13
10	Bryne	9	4	0	5	-3	+0.8	12
11	Molde	9	3	2	4	+0	+1.4	11
12	Valerenga	10	3	2	5	-3	-1.2	11
13	Ham-Kam	9	3	2	4	-7	-6.2	11
14	Stromsgodset	9	2	0	7	-4	-6.4	6
15	KFUM Oslo	9	1	2	6	-9	-2.9	5
16	Haugesund	10	0	1	9	-23	-21.2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	6	4	2	0	+10	+8.1	14
2	Brann	7	4	2	1	+3	+6.7	14
3	Fredrikstad	6	4	1	1	+6	-1.5	13
4	Sandefjord	4	4	0	0	+7	+3.8	12
5	Rosenborg	6	3	3	0	+5	+7.0	12
6	Bodo/Glimt	4	3	0	1	+8	+4.7	9
7	Tromso	5	3	0	2	+1	+2.1	9
8	Bryne	5	3	0	2	+0	+4.1	9
9	Ham-Kam	4	2	1	1	-1	-1.8	7
10	Sarpsborg 08	4	1	1	2	+2	+3.5	4
11	Valerenga	4	1	1	2	-2	-0.3	4
12	Molde	4	1	1	2	-2	+2.9	4
13	KFUM Oslo	4	1	0	3	-3	-1.8	3
14	Kristiansund	4	1	0	3	-3	+0.1	3
15	Haugesund	5	0	1	4	-14	-6.5	1
16	Stromsgodset	5	0	0	5	-8	-3.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	5	4	0	1	+7	+4.3	12
2	Rosenborg	5	3	1	1	+1	-0.3	10
3	Kristiansund	7	3	1	3	-2	-5.9	10
4	Sarpsborg 08	5	2	3	0	+4	+1.7	9
5	Brann	4	3	0	1	+2	+4.6	9
6	Bodo/Glimt	4	2	1	1	+4	+2.1	7
7	Molde	5	2	1	2	+2	-1.6	7
8	Tromso	4	2	1	1	+1	-0.5	7
9	Valerenga	6	2	1	3	-1	-0.9	7
10	Stromsgodset	4	2	0	2	+4	-2.6	6
11	Fredrikstad	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.5	4
12	Ham-Kam	5	1	1	3	-6	-4.5	4
13	Bryne	4	1	0	3	-3	-3.2	3
14	Sandefjord	5	1	0	4	-6	-3.3	3
15	KFUM Oslo	5	0	2	3	-6	-1.1	2
16	Haugesund	5	0	0	5	-9	-14.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.