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Ligue 1

Referee: Jerome Miguelgorry

Strasbourg

S U U T U

1–1

Full-time

Marseille

U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg Marseille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 38%

29%

47%

Points per game

1,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

56%

59%

Both score Ø 62%

68%

56%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

1,6

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%

7 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

0 Corners 4

3 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Strasbourg 10. · Marseille 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	34	27	3	4	+67	84
2	Lille	34	20	8	6	+31	68
3	Lyon	34	18	8	8	+15	62
4	St Etienne	34	17	8	9	+15	59
5	Montpellier	34	14	12	8	+11	54
6	Marseille	34	16	6	12	+7	54
7	Nice	34	14	9	11	-4	51
8	Reims	34	11	16	7	-2	49
9	Nimes	34	13	7	14	-4	46
10	Strasbourg	34	10	15	9	+12	45
11	Rennes	34	11	11	12	-1	44
12	Nantes	34	12	7	15	-2	43
13	Angers	34	9	15	10	+0	42
14	Bordeaux	34	9	11	14	-6	38
15	Toulouse	34	8	12	14	-18	36
16	Monaco	34	7	12	15	-17	33
17	Amiens	34	8	9	17	-20	33
18	Caen	34	6	11	17	-21	29
19	Dijon	34	7	7	20	-24	28
20	Guingamp	34	5	9	20	-39	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	17	16	1	0	+49	49
2	St Etienne	17	12	2	3	+18	38
3	Lille	17	11	4	2	+25	37
4	Lyon	17	11	3	3	+15	36
5	Marseille	17	10	4	3	+16	34
6	Montpellier	17	8	6	3	+11	30
7	Nice	17	9	3	5	+3	30
8	Nimes	17	8	5	4	+10	29
9	Nantes	17	8	4	5	+9	28
10	Reims	17	7	7	3	+4	28
11	Rennes	17	7	6	4	+7	27
12	Bordeaux	17	7	6	4	+5	27
13	Strasbourg	17	6	7	4	+8	25
14	Angers	17	5	8	4	+3	23
15	Amiens	17	6	4	7	-3	22
16	Toulouse	17	4	8	5	-3	20
17	Dijon	17	4	4	9	-13	16
18	Monaco	17	3	6	8	-11	15
19	Guingamp	17	3	5	9	-11	14
20	Caen	17	3	5	9	-11	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	17	11	2	4	+18	35
2	Lille	17	9	4	4	+6	31
3	Lyon	17	7	5	5	+0	26
4	Montpellier	17	6	6	5	+0	24
5	St Etienne	17	5	6	6	-3	21
6	Reims	17	4	9	4	-6	21
7	Nice	17	5	6	6	-7	21
8	Strasbourg	17	4	8	5	+4	20
9	Marseille	17	6	2	9	-9	20
10	Angers	17	4	7	6	-3	19
11	Monaco	17	4	6	7	-6	18
12	Rennes	17	4	5	8	-8	17
13	Nimes	17	5	2	10	-14	17
14	Toulouse	17	4	4	9	-15	16
15	Caen	17	3	6	8	-10	15
16	Nantes	17	4	3	10	-11	15
17	Dijon	17	3	3	11	-11	12
18	Bordeaux	17	2	5	10	-11	11
19	Amiens	17	2	5	10	-17	11
20	Guingamp	17	2	4	11	-28	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.