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Primeira Liga

Referee: Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Porto

S S T S S

1–0

Full-time

Tondela

T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Porto Tondela

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,5

1,8

Scored

2,7

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 50%

80%

20%

Points per game

2,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

80%

20%

Both score Ø 40%

40%

Average goals

4,0

2,0

Scored

3,0

1,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

68% Possession 32%

31 Shots 7

9 Shots on target 0

9 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 8

11 Corners 2

1 Offside 3

19 Free kicks against 22

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Porto 3. · Tondela 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	6	4	2	0	+9	14
2	Sp Braga	5	4	1	0	+6	13
3	Porto	5	4	0	1	+10	12
4	Rio Ave	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Sp Lisbon	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Maritimo	5	3	1	1	+1	10
7	Feirense	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Chaves	6	2	1	3	-4	7
9	Belenenses	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	Guimaraes	5	2	0	3	-1	6
11	Tondela	5	1	2	2	+0	5
12	Santa Clara	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Vitoria Setubal	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	Boavista	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Portimonense	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Nacional	5	1	1	3	-6	4
17	Moreirense	5	1	1	3	-6	4
18	Aves	5	0	1	4	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Benfica	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Maritimo	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Porto	3	2	0	1	+7	6
5	Rio Ave	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Feirense	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Chaves	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Tondela	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Santa Clara	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Portimonense	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Vitoria Setubal	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Belenenses	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Aves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Moreirense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Boavista	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Nacional	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	3	2	1	0	+6	7
2	Porto	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Belenenses	3	1	2	0	+1	5
4	Sp Braga	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Sp Lisbon	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Boavista	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Rio Ave	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Nacional	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Feirense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Guimaraes	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Moreirense	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	Chaves	3	1	0	2	-5	3
14	Santa Clara	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Portimonense	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Aves	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.